STV Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

STV Group's revenue is forecast to decline at 0.2% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 37.3% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 30% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 40.9% in 3 years.

Key information

37.3%

Earnings growth rate

29.95%

EPS growth rate

Media earnings growth	31.2%
Revenue growth rate	-0.2%
Future return on equity	40.93%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	19 Feb 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Are Investors Undervaluing STV Group plc (LON:STVG) By 34%?

Sep 02

Analyst Forecasts Just Became More Bearish On STV Group plc (LON:STVG)

Aug 06

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By STV Group plc's (LON:STVG) 26% Share Price Plunge

Jul 31

STV Group (LON:STVG) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

Jul 08

STV Group (LON:STVG) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of £0.074

Mar 14

International Expansion And Acquisitions Like Hello Halo Will Strengthen Future Prospects

Feb 11 Diversification in broadcast, streaming, and production enhances growth potential despite challenging conditions, with notable success in expanding revenue from returning series and new commissions.

STV Group's (LON:STVG) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Apr 05

STV Group (LON:STVG) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To £0.074

Mar 10

Are Investors Undervaluing STV Group plc (LON:STVG) By 36%?

Feb 21

STV Group's (LON:STVG) Dividend Will Be Increased To £0.039

Sep 09

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:STVG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (GBP Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	185	7	-4	20	5
12/31/2026	172	4	11	20	5
12/31/2025	173	-1	0	16	4
6/30/2025	188	5	0	3	N/A
3/31/2025	188	8	4	6	N/A
12/31/2024	188	11	7	9	N/A
9/30/2024	186	9	12	13	N/A
6/30/2024	184	7	17	18	N/A
3/31/2024	176	6	10	11	N/A
12/31/2023	168	5	3	4	N/A
9/30/2023	160	8	-1	0	N/A
6/30/2023	151	12	-5	-3	N/A
3/31/2023	144	15	-5	-2	N/A
12/31/2022	138	18	-5	-1	N/A
9/30/2022	142	19	8	11	N/A
6/30/2022	146	21	20	24	N/A
3/31/2022	145	20	20	23	N/A
12/31/2021	145	19	20	23	N/A
9/30/2021	134	19	11	13	N/A
6/30/2021	123	18	2	4	N/A
3/31/2021	115	13	5	7	N/A
12/31/2020	107	8	8	10	N/A
9/30/2020	110	6	10	13	N/A
6/30/2020	114	5	13	17	N/A
3/31/2020	119	10	11	15	N/A
12/31/2019	124	16	9	13	N/A
9/30/2019	123	15	8	13	N/A
6/30/2019	123	13	7	12	N/A
3/31/2019	125	7	N/A	13	N/A
12/31/2018	126	2	N/A	13	N/A
9/30/2018	123	1	N/A	10	N/A
6/30/2018	120	1	N/A	7	N/A
3/31/2018	119	6	N/A	4	N/A
12/31/2017	117	12	N/A	2	N/A
9/30/2017	118	11	N/A	5	N/A
6/30/2017	119	11	N/A	8	N/A
3/31/2017	120	12	N/A	8	N/A
12/31/2016	120	13	N/A	7	N/A
9/30/2016	120	14	N/A	9	N/A
6/30/2016	119	14	N/A	11	N/A
3/31/2016	118	13	N/A	11	N/A
12/31/2015	117	11	N/A	11	N/A
9/30/2015	118	12	N/A	12	N/A
6/30/2015	119	13	N/A	13	N/A
3/31/2015	120	14	N/A	13	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: STVG's forecast earnings growth (37.3% per year) is above the savings rate (3.2%).

Earnings vs Market: STVG's earnings (37.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the UK market (12.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: STVG's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: STVG's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: STVG's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.2% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: STVG's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (40.9%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2026/03/16 04:58
End of Day Share Price	2026/03/13 00:00
Earnings	2025/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

STV Group plc is covered by 11 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Alan Howard	Canaccord Genuity
Andrew Renton	Cavendish
Jonathan Rodgers	Goldman Sachs

STV Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 12% to UK£1.42

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 55%

Price target decreased by 21% to UK£2.34

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 16%

Price target decreased by 8.9% to UK£2.80

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%

Recent updates

Price target decreased by 12% to UK£1.42

STV Group plc to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Mar 17, 2026

Less than half of directors are independent

STV Group PLC Announces the Appointment of Gillian Kent as a Member of the Nomination Committee, the Remuneration Committee, the Audit & Risk Committee and the ESG Committee, Effective 10 December 2025

Less than half of directors are independent

STV Group plc Announces Board and Committee Changes, Effective 5 December 2025

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 55%

First half 2025 earnings released: UK£0.001 loss per share (vs UK£0.12 profit in 1H 2024)

Stv Group plc Not Proposing an Interim Dividend in Respect of Period Ended 30 June 2025

New major risk - Earnings quality

Price target decreased by 21% to UK£2.34

Are Investors Undervaluing STV Group plc (LON:STVG) By 34%?

STV Group plc to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Sep 25, 2025

Analyst Forecasts Just Became More Bearish On STV Group plc (LON:STVG)

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By STV Group plc's (LON:STVG) 26% Share Price Plunge

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 16%

Price target decreased by 8.9% to UK£2.80

Now 24% undervalued after recent price drop

New minor risk - Share price stability

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 26%

STV Group (LON:STVG) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%

STV Group plc Declares A Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2024

Upcoming dividend of UK£0.074 per share

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 33%

STV Group (LON:STVG) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of £0.074

Final dividend of UK£0.074 announced

STV Group plc Proposes Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2024, Payable on 30 May 2025

New major risk - Financial position

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: UK£0.12 (vs UK£0.072 in 1H 2023)

Price target decreased by 19% to UK£3.08

International Expansion And Acquisitions Like Hello Halo Will Strengthen Future Prospects

STV Group plc to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Mar 11, 2025

STV Group plc Announces Directorate Changes

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Upcoming dividend of UK£0.039 per share

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: UK£0.12 (vs UK£0.072 in 1H 2023)

STV Group's (LON:STVG) Dividend Will Be £0.039

First half dividend of UK£0.039 announced

STV Group plc Proposes an Interim Dividend, Payable on 7 November 2024

STV Group plc Announces Directorate Changes

STV Group plc to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Sep 03, 2024

Stv Group plc Provides Revenue Guidance for Second Quarter and First Half of 2024

STV Group plc Announces Board and Committee Changes

Upcoming dividend of UK£0.074 per share

Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past STV Group's (LON:STVG) Soft Earnings

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 36%, revenue upgraded

STV Group's (LON:STVG) Dividend Will Be £0.074

Final dividend of UK£0.074 announced

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

STV Group plc Announces Step Down of Simon Pitts as Chief Executive Officer

Insufficient new directors

STV Group plc to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 05, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%

Price target decreased by 28% to UK£3.26

New minor risk - Market cap size

Upcoming dividend of UK£0.039 per share at 5.4% yield

STV Group (LON:STVG) Has Announced A Dividend Of £0.039

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: UK£0.072 (vs UK£0.19 in 1H 2022)

Stv Group plc Proposes Interim Dividend, Payable on 2 November 2023

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 13%

STV Group plc to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Sep 05, 2023

STV Group plc Announces Executive Changes

Upcoming dividend of UK£0.074 per share at 4.5% yield

STV Group's (LON:STVG) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 23%

STV Group (LON:STVG) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To £0.074