Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought Kin and Carta (LON:KCT) Stock Three Years Ago, You Could Pocket A 103% Gain Today

LSE:KCT
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It might seem bad, but the worst that can happen when you buy a stock (without leverage) is that its share price goes to zero. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. To wit, the Kin and Carta plc (LON:KCT) share price has flown 103% in the last three years. That sort of return is as solid as granite. It's up an even more impressive 105% over the last quarter.

View our latest analysis for Kin and Carta

Because Kin and Carta made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

Kin and Carta actually saw its revenue drop by 0.2% per year over three years. So we wouldn't have expected the share price to gain 27% per year, but it has. It's a good reminder that expectations about the future, not the past history, always impact share prices.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
LSE:KCT Earnings and Revenue Growth January 12th 2021

If you are thinking of buying or selling Kin and Carta stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered Kin and Carta's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Kin and Carta's TSR of 112% for the 3 years exceeded its share price return, because it has paid dividends.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Kin and Carta shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 49% over one year. That certainly beats the loss of about 3% per year over the last half decade. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Kin and Carta better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Kin and Carta you should be aware of.

But note: Kin and Carta may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kin and Carta might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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