Bilibili Valuation

Is 0T3W undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0T3W when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0T3W ($18.81) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($33.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0T3W is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0T3W?

Key metric: As 0T3W is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 0T3W. This is calculated by dividing 0T3W's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 0T3W's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.2x
SalesCN¥25.45b
Market CapCN¥57.69b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0T3W's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0T3W vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.8x
AUTO Auto Trader Group
12.2x6.6%UK£7.2b
RMV Rightmove
12.5x8.3%UK£4.7b
BCG Baltic Classifieds Group
26.6x12.5%UK£1.6b
TRST Trustpilot Group
7.8x15.9%UK£1.2b
0T3W Bilibili
2.2x10.7%US$8.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0T3W is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the peer average (14.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 0T3W's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Interactive Media and Services Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0T3W 2.2xIndustry Avg. 1.5xNo. of Companies12PS01.63.24.86.48+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0T3W is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the European Interactive Media and Services industry average (1.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0T3W's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0T3W PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.2x
Fair PS Ratio3.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0T3W is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0T3W forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$18.89
US$23.22
+22.9%
17.7%US$34.01US$11.96n/a31
Nov ’25US$21.91
US$21.24
-3.1%
22.1%US$34.00US$12.15n/a31
Oct ’25US$25.79
US$19.30
-25.2%
20.8%US$34.43US$12.31n/a31
Sep ’25US$14.30
US$18.62
+30.2%
21.5%US$33.98US$12.15n/a31
Aug ’25US$15.19
US$18.23
+20.0%
22.1%US$34.06US$11.95n/a31
Jul ’25US$15.31
US$17.22
+12.5%
24.9%US$33.95US$11.66n/a31
Jun ’25US$14.42
US$16.55
+14.8%
25.0%US$33.74US$11.70n/a31
May ’25US$12.81
US$15.02
+17.3%
30.2%US$33.75US$9.93n/a32
Apr ’25US$11.29
US$15.11
+33.9%
31.7%US$33.79US$9.94n/a32
Mar ’25US$10.10
US$16.68
+65.3%
33.4%US$33.71US$9.92n/a32
Feb ’25US$9.36
US$17.12
+82.9%
33.2%US$33.96US$9.99n/a33
Jan ’25US$12.27
US$17.63
+43.7%
30.7%US$33.82US$9.95n/a33
Dec ’24US$11.48
US$17.83
+55.4%
29.8%US$33.99US$10.00n/a34
Nov ’24US$13.14
US$20.72
+57.7%
27.9%US$37.99US$11.00US$21.9134
Oct ’24US$13.83
US$21.57
+56.0%
25.6%US$38.10US$12.78US$25.7934
Sep ’24US$15.64
US$21.87
+39.9%
25.5%US$38.30US$12.85US$14.3035
Aug ’24US$17.77
US$22.60
+27.2%
24.2%US$38.25US$12.87US$15.1935
Jul ’24US$15.09
US$22.81
+51.2%
22.6%US$37.90US$12.75US$15.3135
Jun ’24US$15.53
US$24.73
+59.3%
22.3%US$38.91US$15.57US$14.4235
May ’24US$20.31
US$26.73
+31.6%
19.3%US$39.96US$15.98US$12.8135
Apr ’24US$23.49
US$29.75
+26.6%
57.8%US$125.26US$16.08US$11.2935
Mar ’24US$19.57
US$29.54
+51.0%
59.9%US$125.32US$11.62US$10.1035
Feb ’24US$25.29
US$29.59
+17.0%
61.5%US$127.68US$11.84US$9.3635
Jan ’24US$23.92
US$27.54
+15.1%
65.2%US$124.81US$11.30US$12.2736
Dec ’23US$16.97
US$26.27
+54.8%
68.5%US$122.20US$6.30US$11.4836
Nov ’23US$9.29
US$27.81
+199.3%
62.8%US$117.89US$6.20US$13.1435

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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