Weibo Valuation

Is 0LUG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0LUG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0LUG ($8.62) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($23.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0LUG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0LUG?

Key metric: As 0LUG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0LUG. This is calculated by dividing 0LUG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0LUG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.4x
EarningsUS$322.09m
Market CapUS$2.07b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0LUG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0LUG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45.1x
BCG Baltic Classifieds Group
59.8x19.8%UK£1.6b
TRST Trustpilot Group
83.1x-0.05%UK£1.1b
MONY MONY Group
13.6x9.5%UK£1.0b
RMV Rightmove
23.9x7.7%UK£4.8b
0LUG Weibo
6.4x8.0%US$2.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0LUG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the peer average (45.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0LUG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Interactive Media and Services Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0LUG 6.4xIndustry Avg. 15.2xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0LUG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the European Interactive Media and Services industry average (15.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0LUG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0LUG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.4x
Fair PE Ratio21.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0LUG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0LUG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$8.62
US$10.31
+19.6%
22.1%US$16.00US$7.50n/a20
Nov ’25US$8.97
US$10.33
+15.1%
22.6%US$16.00US$7.50n/a19
Oct ’25US$10.40
US$10.26
-1.3%
21.5%US$16.00US$7.50n/a20
Sep ’25US$7.46
US$10.39
+39.2%
20.5%US$16.00US$7.50n/a21
Aug ’25US$7.62
US$11.51
+51.2%
21.1%US$17.10US$8.00n/a21
Jul ’25US$7.74
US$11.86
+53.3%
22.5%US$18.00US$8.60n/a22
Jun ’25US$8.89
US$11.89
+33.8%
22.3%US$18.00US$8.60n/a22
May ’25US$8.63
US$12.22
+41.6%
22.6%US$18.80US$8.60n/a22
Apr ’25US$9.21
US$12.40
+34.7%
22.0%US$18.80US$8.60n/a23
Mar ’25US$9.17
US$16.26
+77.3%
23.4%US$23.50US$10.00n/a22
Feb ’25US$8.54
US$16.15
+89.1%
23.7%US$23.50US$10.00n/a23
Jan ’25US$10.94
US$16.87
+54.2%
20.0%US$23.50US$11.50n/a23
Dec ’24US$9.80
US$17.04
+73.9%
18.9%US$23.50US$11.50n/a24
Nov ’24US$11.51
US$18.74
+62.8%
21.8%US$26.30US$12.00US$8.9723
Oct ’24US$12.60
US$19.27
+53.0%
19.2%US$26.50US$14.20US$10.4023
Sep ’24US$13.77
US$19.80
+43.8%
19.9%US$26.50US$14.20US$7.4624
Aug ’24US$15.17
US$21.34
+40.6%
17.4%US$28.00US$14.50US$7.6225
Jul ’24US$13.19
US$21.64
+64.1%
16.3%US$28.00US$15.50US$7.7425
Jun ’24US$13.85
US$22.46
+62.1%
17.2%US$33.00US$17.00US$8.8925
May ’24n/a
US$24.25
0%
13.5%US$33.00US$19.00US$8.6324
Apr ’24n/a
US$24.37
0%
13.6%US$33.00US$19.00US$9.2124
Mar ’24n/a
US$24.08
0%
15.2%US$33.00US$16.30US$9.1722
Feb ’24n/a
US$22.61
0%
17.1%US$33.00US$16.30US$8.5422
Jan ’24n/a
US$20.22
0%
16.0%US$27.10US$15.00US$10.9421
Dec ’23n/a
US$20.32
0%
16.9%US$27.10US$14.00US$9.8021
Nov ’23n/a
US$23.37
0%
25.2%US$35.00US$13.00US$11.5122

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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