Hello Group Valuation

Is 0K2P undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0K2P when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0K2P ($6.75) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($16.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0K2P is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0K2P?

Key metric: As 0K2P is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0K2P. This is calculated by dividing 0K2P's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0K2P's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.1x
EarningsCN¥1.40b
Market CapCN¥8.57b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0K2P's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0K2P vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45.8x
MONY MONY Group
13.4x9.5%UK£1.0b
TRST Trustpilot Group
84.8x-0.05%UK£1.2b
BCG Baltic Classifieds Group
60.9x19.8%UK£1.6b
RMV Rightmove
23.9x7.7%UK£4.7b
0K2P Hello Group
6.1x9.3%US$1.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0K2P is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the peer average (45.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0K2P's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Interactive Media and Services Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0K2P 6.1xIndustry Avg. 14.8xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0K2P is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the European Interactive Media and Services industry average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0K2P's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0K2P PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.1x
Fair PE Ratio20.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0K2P is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0K2P forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$6.75
US$7.44
+10.2%
26.9%US$12.96US$5.48n/a11
Nov ’25US$7.10
US$7.52
+6.0%
27.4%US$12.98US$5.49n/a11
Oct ’25US$7.68
US$7.49
-2.5%
26.8%US$13.17US$5.57n/a12
Sep ’25US$6.61
US$7.53
+13.9%
33.9%US$14.95US$5.48n/a12
Aug ’25US$6.62
US$7.53
+13.7%
33.9%US$14.95US$5.48n/a12
Jul ’25US$6.14
US$7.53
+22.7%
33.9%US$14.96US$5.49n/a12
Jun ’25US$5.69
US$8.61
+51.4%
34.6%US$15.02US$5.51n/a12
May ’25US$5.88
US$9.07
+54.3%
31.6%US$15.91US$6.16n/a12
Apr ’25US$6.24
US$9.35
+49.9%
31.4%US$15.95US$6.18n/a12
Mar ’25US$6.84
US$11.33
+65.6%
33.9%US$21.94US$7.83n/a11
Feb ’25US$5.92
US$11.44
+93.3%
33.9%US$22.09US$7.88n/a11
Jan ’25US$7.00
US$11.43
+63.3%
33.8%US$22.01US$7.90n/a11
Dec ’24US$6.53
US$11.67
+78.7%
31.6%US$21.92US$7.99n/a11
Nov ’24US$7.05
US$11.90
+68.9%
32.3%US$21.88US$7.92US$7.1013
Oct ’24US$7.05
US$11.90
+68.8%
32.3%US$21.88US$7.92US$7.6813
Sep ’24US$8.70
US$11.85
+36.2%
31.8%US$22.01US$7.97US$6.6114
Aug ’24US$10.73
US$11.89
+10.9%
30.9%US$21.70US$8.01US$6.6214
Jul ’24US$9.70
US$11.92
+22.9%
31.6%US$21.91US$8.08US$6.1414
Jun ’24US$8.50
US$11.29
+32.8%
33.6%US$20.48US$7.31US$5.6914
May ’24US$8.29
US$11.25
+35.7%
34.4%US$20.92US$7.47US$5.8815
Apr ’24US$9.27
US$10.66
+15.0%
39.9%US$21.00US$5.25US$6.2414
Mar ’24US$9.12
US$10.35
+13.5%
40.7%US$20.25US$5.03US$6.8415
Feb ’24US$10.95
US$10.34
-5.6%
41.2%US$20.60US$5.12US$5.9215
Jan ’24US$8.99
US$9.88
+9.9%
41.7%US$19.92US$4.95US$7.0015
Dec ’23US$5.53
US$8.39
+51.8%
54.1%US$19.59US$4.91US$6.5315
Nov ’23US$5.16
US$7.94
+53.9%
55.2%US$19.09US$4.19US$7.0516

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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