Paradox Interactive AB (publ)

BATS-CHIXE:PDXS Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 14.0b

Paradox Interactive Valuation

Is PDXS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PDXS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: PDXS (SEK132.3) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (SEK152.27)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: PDXS is trading below future cash flow value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PDXS?

Key metric: As PDXS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PDXS. This is calculated by dividing PDXS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PDXS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio110.6x
EarningsSEK 126.46m
Market CapSEK 13.98b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PDXS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PDXS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.3x
EVPL everplay group
6.7x-17.05%UK£348.7m
FDEV Frontier Developments
7.3x-33.08%UK£146.0m
GMR Gaming Realms
14.6x4.33%UK£86.9m
MONY MONY Group
12.7x5.02%UK£1.0b
PDXS Paradox Interactive
110.6x44.08%SEK 14.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PDXS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (110.6x) compared to the peer average (10.3x).


Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PDXS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Entertainment Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies19PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PDXS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (110.6x) compared to the European Entertainment industry average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PDXS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PDXS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio110.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PDXS's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PDXS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 132.30
SEK 154.40
+16.70%
7.08%SEK 170.00SEK 137.00n/a5
Aug ’27n/a
SEK 154.40
0%
8.33%SEK 170.00SEK 132.00n/a5
Jul ’27n/a
SEK 154.40
0%
8.33%SEK 170.00SEK 132.00n/a5
Jun ’27n/a
SEK 154.40
0%
8.33%SEK 170.00SEK 132.00n/a5
May ’27n/a
SEK 148.80
0%
10.23%SEK 170.00SEK 129.00n/a5
Apr ’27n/a
SEK 157.00
0%
14.82%SEK 180.00SEK 129.00n/a4
Mar ’27n/a
SEK 157.88
0%
14.09%SEK 180.00SEK 132.50n/a4
Feb ’27n/a
SEK 164.00
0%
10.50%SEK 180.00SEK 139.00n/a4
Jan ’27n/a
SEK 211.67
0%
1.11%SEK 215.00SEK 210.00n/a3
Dec ’26n/a
SEK 211.67
0%
1.11%SEK 215.00SEK 210.00n/a3
Nov ’26n/a
SEK 186.25
0%
16.04%SEK 215.00SEK 140.00n/a4
Oct ’26n/a
SEK 191.25
0%
14.48%SEK 225.00SEK 150.00n/a4
Sep ’26n/a
SEK 191.25
0%
14.48%SEK 225.00SEK 150.00n/a4
Aug ’26n/a
SEK 187.25
0%
12.56%SEK 215.00SEK 150.00n/a4
Jul ’26n/a
SEK 211.00
0%
15.60%SEK 250.00SEK 160.00n/a5
Jun ’26n/a
SEK 213.00
0%
14.96%SEK 250.00SEK 160.00n/a5
May ’26n/a
SEK 214.00
0%
14.95%SEK 250.00SEK 160.00n/a5
Apr ’26n/a
SEK 231.00
0%
17.66%SEK 280.00SEK 160.00n/a5
Mar ’26n/a
SEK 231.00
0%
17.66%SEK 280.00SEK 160.00n/a5
Feb ’26n/a
SEK 230.00
0%
18.08%SEK 280.00SEK 155.00n/a5
Jan ’26n/a
SEK 219.17
0%
20.17%SEK 280.00SEK 140.00n/a6
Dec ’25n/a
SEK 219.17
0%
20.17%SEK 280.00SEK 140.00n/a6
Nov ’25n/a
SEK 211.67
0%
23.84%SEK 280.00SEK 140.00n/a6
Oct ’25n/a
SEK 190.00
0%
23.36%SEK 240.00SEK 125.00n/a5
Sep ’25n/a
SEK 190.00
0%
23.36%SEK 240.00SEK 125.00n/a5
Aug ’25n/a
SEK 191.00
0%
22.48%SEK 240.00SEK 130.00n/a5
SEK 154.28
Fair Value
14.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/08/13 08:00
End of Day Share Price 2026/08/13 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Paradox Interactive AB (publ) is covered by 10 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullABG Sundal Collier
Edward JamesBerenberg
Mikael LaséenCarnegie Investment Bank AB