Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Zotefoams (LON:ZTF) Is Using Debt Extensively

LSE:ZTF
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Zotefoams plc (LON:ZTF) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the GB Chemicals industry.

What Is Zotefoams's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2022, Zotefoams had UK£44.7m of debt, up from UK£41.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had UK£7.73m in cash, and so its net debt is UK£37.0m.

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LSE:ZTF Debt to Equity History October 14th 2022

A Look At Zotefoams' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Zotefoams had liabilities of UK£62.7m due within a year, and liabilities of UK£6.46m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had UK£7.73m in cash and UK£34.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total UK£27.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This state of affairs indicates that Zotefoams' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the UK£14.0b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. But either way, Zotefoams has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.3, Zotefoams uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.7 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. Unfortunately, Zotefoams saw its EBIT slide 5.0% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Zotefoams can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Zotefoams recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

Zotefoams's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. But on the bright side, its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT isn't too shabby at all. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Zotefoams is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Zotefoams that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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Discover if Zotefoams might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.