The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Victrex plc (LON:VCT) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Victrex
What Is Victrex's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of March 2022, Victrex had UK£15.6m of debt, up from UK£5.50m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds UK£45.8m in cash, so it actually has UK£30.2m net cash.
A Look At Victrex's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Victrex had liabilities of UK£57.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of UK£59.9m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£45.8m and UK£68.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total UK£3.10m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This state of affairs indicates that Victrex's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the UK£1.43b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Victrex also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Another good sign is that Victrex has been able to increase its EBIT by 25% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Victrex can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Victrex has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Victrex recorded free cash flow worth 64% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing up
We could understand if investors are concerned about Victrex's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of UK£30.2m. And we liked the look of last year's 25% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is Victrex's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Victrex that you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:VCT
Victrex
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of polymer solutions worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.