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Here's Why I Think Macfarlane Group (LON:MACF) Is An Interesting Stock
Like a puppy chasing its tail, some new investors often chase 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without revenue, let alone profit. But as Warren Buffett has mused, 'If you've been playing poker for half an hour and you still don't know who the patsy is, you're the patsy.' When they buy such story stocks, investors are all too often the patsy.
If, on the other hand, you like companies that have revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in Macfarlane Group (LON:MACF). Now, I'm not saying that the stock is necessarily undervalued today; but I can't shake an appreciation for the profitability of the business itself. While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, unless its owners have an endless appetite for subsidizing the customer, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else breathe its last breath.
See our latest analysis for Macfarlane Group
How Fast Is Macfarlane Group Growing?
The market is a voting machine in the short term, but a weighing machine in the long term, so share price follows earnings per share (EPS) eventually. That means EPS growth is considered a real positive by most successful long-term investors. Over the last three years, Macfarlane Group has grown EPS by 7.9% per year. While that sort of growth rate isn't amazing, it does show the business is growing.
I like to see top-line growth as an indication that growth is sustainable, and I look for a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin to point to a competitive moat (though some companies with low margins also have moats). Macfarlane Group reported flat revenue and EBIT margins over the last year. That's not a major concern but nor does it point to the long term growth we like to see.
In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings, and revenue, over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.
Since Macfarlane Group is no giant, with a market capitalization of UK£145m, so you should definitely check its cash and debt before getting too excited about its prospects.
Are Macfarlane Group Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?
Like the kids in the streets standing up for their beliefs, insider share purchases give me reason to believe in a brighter future. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. Of course, we can never be sure what insiders are thinking, we can only judge their actions.
We haven't seen any insiders selling Macfarlane Group shares, in the last year. So it's definitely nice that Group Finance Director Ivor Gray bought UK£10.0k worth of shares at an average price of around UK£0.85.
Does Macfarlane Group Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
One important encouraging feature of Macfarlane Group is that it is growing profits. Not every business can grow its EPS, but Macfarlane Group certainly can. The icing on the cake is that an insider bought shares during the year, which inclines me to put this one on a watchlist. Of course, just because Macfarlane Group is growing does not mean it is undervalued. If you're wondering about the valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
As a growth investor I do like to see insider buying. But Macfarlane Group isn't the only one. You can see a a free list of them here.
Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About LSE:MACF
Macfarlane Group
Through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and distributes protective packaging products to businesses in the United Kingdom and Europe.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.