Gem Diamonds Limited

LSE:GEMD Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£14.0m

Gem Diamonds Valuation

Is GEMD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GEMD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate GEMD's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate GEMD's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GEMD?

Key metric: As GEMD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GEMD. This is calculated by dividing GEMD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GEMD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.1x
EarningsUS$922.00k
Market CapUS$17.60m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GEMD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GEMD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.8x
SLP Sylvania Platinum
19.3x43.0%UK£107.3m
JLP Jubilee Metals Group
24.4x55.6%UK£115.9m
LEX Lexington Gold
45.8xn/aUK£13.8m
ARCM Arc Minerals
1.9xn/aUK£16.3m
GEMD Gem Diamonds
19.1x1.9%UK£14.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GEMD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the peer average (22.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GEMD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Metals and Mining Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NLMK Novolipetsk Steel
0.8xn/aUS$4.08b
EVR EVRAZ
0.4xn/aUS$1.42b
MTL Metals Exploration
0.8x-60.3%US$115.89m
ARCM Arc Minerals
1.9xn/aUS$20.42m
GEMD 19.1xIndustry Avg. 9.3xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GEMD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the UK Metals and Mining industry average (9.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GEMD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GEMD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.1x
Fair PE Ratio9.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GEMD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GEMD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.10
UK£0.35
+243.9%
16.0%UK£0.40UK£0.29n/a2
Dec ’25UK£0.10
UK£0.35
+237.7%
16.0%UK£0.40UK£0.29n/a2
Nov ’25UK£0.11
UK£0.35
+204.5%
16.0%UK£0.40UK£0.29n/a2
Oct ’25UK£0.11
UK£0.35
+214.2%
16.0%UK£0.40UK£0.29n/a2
Sep ’25UK£0.15
UK£0.35
+132.7%
16.0%UK£0.40UK£0.29n/a2
Aug ’25UK£0.13
UK£0.30
+130.9%
0.9%UK£0.30UK£0.30n/a2
Jul ’25UK£0.12
UK£0.30
+146.4%
0.9%UK£0.30UK£0.30n/a2
Jun ’25UK£0.14
UK£0.30
+122.8%
0.9%UK£0.30UK£0.30n/a2
May ’25UK£0.10
UK£0.30
+198.8%
0.8%UK£0.31UK£0.30n/a2
Apr ’25UK£0.086
UK£0.24
+179.1%
24.8%UK£0.30UK£0.18n/a2
Mar ’25UK£0.10
UK£0.24
+141.0%
24.8%UK£0.30UK£0.18n/a2
Feb ’25UK£0.11
UK£0.24
+125.9%
24.8%UK£0.30UK£0.18n/a2
Jan ’25UK£0.13
UK£0.43
+220.6%
59.8%UK£0.78UK£0.20n/a3
Dec ’24UK£0.13
UK£0.43
+215.8%
59.8%UK£0.78UK£0.20UK£0.103
Nov ’24UK£0.11
UK£0.26
+133.6%
22.9%UK£0.32UK£0.20UK£0.112
Oct ’24UK£0.15
UK£0.44
+191.7%
53.1%UK£0.77UK£0.24UK£0.113
Sep ’24UK£0.17
UK£0.44
+155.3%
53.1%UK£0.77UK£0.24UK£0.153
Aug ’24UK£0.18
UK£0.43
+133.1%
52.7%UK£0.74UK£0.24UK£0.133
Jul ’24UK£0.19
UK£0.48
+158.8%
41.1%UK£0.76UK£0.30UK£0.123
Jun ’24UK£0.23
UK£0.48
+107.3%
41.1%UK£0.76UK£0.30UK£0.143
May ’24UK£0.26
UK£0.54
+106.1%
31.2%UK£0.77UK£0.40UK£0.103
Apr ’24UK£0.26
UK£0.57
+117.6%
36.1%UK£0.86UK£0.40UK£0.0863
Mar ’24UK£0.30
UK£0.56
+85.8%
36.7%UK£0.86UK£0.40UK£0.103
Feb ’24UK£0.30
UK£0.56
+89.6%
36.7%UK£0.86UK£0.40UK£0.113
Jan ’24UK£0.33
UK£0.47
+45.0%
34.8%UK£0.80UK£0.37UK£0.135
Dec ’23UK£0.33
UK£0.54
+63.4%
32.4%UK£0.85UK£0.39UK£0.135

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/24 21:19
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Gem Diamonds Limited is covered by 17 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Izak RossouwBarclays
David Simon ButlerBarclays
Richard HatchBerenberg