To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. And in light of that, the trends we're seeing at EVRAZ's (LON:EVR) look very promising so lets take a look.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on EVRAZ is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.28 = US$1.6b ÷ (US$8.7b - US$3.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Thus, EVRAZ has an ROCE of 28%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Metals and Mining industry average of 14%.
View our latest analysis for EVRAZ
In the above chart we have measured EVRAZ's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for EVRAZ.
The Trend Of ROCE
EVRAZ has not disappointed in regards to ROCE growth. We found that the returns on capital employed over the last five years have risen by 187%. That's a very favorable trend because this means that the company is earning more per dollar of capital that's being employed. Speaking of capital employed, the company is actually utilizing 20% less than it was five years ago, which can be indicative of a business that's improving its efficiency. A business that's shrinking its asset base like this isn't usually typical of a soon to be multi-bagger company.
For the record though, there was a noticeable increase in the company's current liabilities over the period, so we would attribute some of the ROCE growth to that. Effectively this means that suppliers or short-term creditors are now funding 36% of the business, which is more than it was five years ago. Keep an eye out for future increases because when the ratio of current liabilities to total assets gets particularly high, this can introduce some new risks for the business.
The Key Takeaway
In a nutshell, we're pleased to see that EVRAZ has been able to generate higher returns from less capital. And with the stock having performed exceptionally well over the last five years, these patterns are being accounted for by investors. Therefore, we think it would be worth your time to check if these trends are going to continue.
If you want to continue researching EVRAZ, you might be interested to know about the 3 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.
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About LSE:EVR
EVRAZ
EVRAZ plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and distribution of steel and related products in Russia, the Americas, Asia, Europe, CIS, Africa, and internationally.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.