Umicore Valuation

Is 0RUY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0RUY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0RUY (€20.97) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€13.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0RUY is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0RUY?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0RUY key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7x
PEG Ratio-40.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0RUY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0RUY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.2x
JMAT Johnson Matthey
18x20.5%UK£3.2b
CRDA Croda International
38x15.3%UK£6.5b
VCT Victrex
17.3x10.7%UK£1.1b
ELM Elementis
35.5x29.0%UK£801.0m
0RUY Umicore
13.1x-0.3%€5.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0RUY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the peer average (27.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0RUY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0RUY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (17.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0RUY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0RUY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.1x
Fair PE Ratio13.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0RUY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0RUY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€20.97
€24.75
+18.0%
21.0%€40.00€18.00n/a18
Apr ’25€20.00
€24.81
+24.0%
21.0%€40.00€18.00n/a18
Mar ’25€19.78
€26.18
+32.3%
25.6%€46.00€18.00n/a20
Feb ’25€20.96
€27.15
+29.5%
22.8%€46.00€20.00n/a20
Jan ’25€24.91
€29.54
+18.6%
22.2%€50.00€21.00n/a20
Dec ’24€24.18
€29.84
+23.4%
21.2%€50.00€22.00n/a20
Nov ’24€22.36
€30.44
+36.1%
21.2%€50.00€22.00n/a20
Oct ’24€22.48
€30.89
+37.4%
19.0%€50.00€22.00n/a20
Sep ’24€24.56
€31.04
+26.4%
19.2%€50.00€22.00n/a19
Aug ’24€26.87
€30.78
+14.5%
19.9%€50.00€22.00n/a18
Jul ’24€25.46
€32.63
+28.2%
21.9%€53.00€22.00n/a16
Jun ’24€26.30
€33.25
+26.4%
21.8%€53.00€22.00n/a16
May ’24€29.70
€34.13
+14.9%
20.7%€53.00€25.00n/a15
Apr ’24€31.10
€34.06
+9.5%
20.2%€53.00€25.00€20.0016
Mar ’24€31.85
€34.12
+7.1%
19.5%€53.00€25.00€19.7817
Feb ’24€34.11
€34.65
+1.6%
19.4%€53.00€25.00€20.9617
Jan ’24€34.61
€35.78
+3.4%
21.8%€54.00€25.00€24.9118
Dec ’23€34.30
€35.83
+4.5%
21.8%€54.00€25.00€24.1818
Nov ’23€33.46
€35.78
+6.9%
21.8%€54.00€25.00€22.3618
Oct ’23€29.91
€36.11
+20.8%
21.9%€54.00€25.00€22.4818
Sep ’23€30.92
€36.28
+17.3%
21.9%€54.00€25.00€24.5618
Aug ’23€35.57
€36.22
+1.8%
22.0%€54.00€25.00€26.8718
Jul ’23€32.52
€37.83
+16.3%
20.8%€54.00€26.00€25.4618
Jun ’23€41.41
€38.40
-7.3%
21.0%€58.00€26.00€26.3020
May ’23€36.66
€38.15
+4.1%
21.0%€58.00€26.00€29.7020
Apr ’23€39.97
€38.45
-3.8%
20.3%€58.00€26.00€31.1020

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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