Metsä Board Oyj

LSE:0O7A Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.7b

Metsä Board Oyj Valuation

Is 0O7A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0O7A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0O7A (€4.43) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€12.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0O7A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0O7A?

Key metric: As 0O7A is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0O7A. This is calculated by dividing 0O7A's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0O7A's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio45.6x
Earnings€35.10m
Market Cap€1.66b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0O7A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0O7A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.3x
SMDS DS Smith
21.2x8.3%UK£8.2b
RBN Robinson
32.5x74.1%UK£17.6m
HOC Hochschild Mining
46.9x52.9%UK£1.1b
EVR EVRAZ
0.4xn/aUK£1.2b
0O7A Metsä Board Oyj
45.6x53.0%€1.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0O7A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.6x) compared to the peer average (33.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0O7A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Packaging Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0O7A 45.6xIndustry Avg. 18.7xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0O7A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.6x) compared to the European Packaging industry average (18.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0O7A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0O7A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio45.6x
Fair PE Ratio31.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0O7A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0O7A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.43
€5.71
+28.8%
8.4%€6.40€5.10n/a5
Nov ’25€4.92
€5.95
+21.0%
15.0%€7.60€5.10n/a5
Oct ’25€6.39
€7.43
+16.3%
18.8%€10.00€5.90n/a5
Sep ’25€6.27
€7.55
+20.4%
18.1%€10.00€5.90n/a5
Aug ’25€7.04
€8.08
+14.8%
15.1%€10.00€6.90n/a5
Jul ’25€7.45
€8.36
+12.2%
17.8%€11.00€6.90n/a5
Jun ’25€7.77
€8.36
+7.5%
17.8%€11.00€6.90n/a5
May ’25€6.77
€7.66
+13.1%
9.7%€8.70€6.70n/a5
Apr ’25€7.04
€7.44
+5.6%
13.3%€8.70€6.10n/a5
Mar ’25€6.93
€7.30
+5.4%
12.6%€8.70€6.10n/a5
Feb ’25€7.05
€7.51
+6.6%
12.4%€9.00€6.10n/a5
Jan ’25€7.24
€7.51
+3.7%
13.2%€9.20€6.10n/a5
Dec ’24€7.08
€7.81
+10.3%
14.8%€9.20€6.10n/a5
Nov ’24€7.12
€7.87
+10.6%
15.7%€9.50€6.10€4.925
Oct ’24€7.56
€8.13
+7.5%
12.2%€9.50€6.90€6.395
Sep ’24€7.51
€8.13
+8.3%
12.2%€9.50€6.90€6.275
Aug ’24€7.52
€8.13
+8.2%
14.2%€9.80€6.60€7.045
Jul ’24€6.76
€8.38
+24.0%
13.8%€9.80€6.60€7.455
Jun ’24€7.43
€7.88
+6.1%
12.2%€9.00€6.60€7.775
May ’24€6.58
€8.08
+22.8%
11.4%€9.00€6.60€6.775
Apr ’24€7.42
€9.60
+29.4%
15.3%€12.00€7.80€7.046
Mar ’24€8.41
€9.68
+15.1%
15.3%€12.00€7.80€6.936
Feb ’24€8.42
€10.32
+22.6%
20.4%€14.00€7.80€7.056
Jan ’24€8.82
€10.32
+17.0%
20.4%€14.00€7.80€7.246
Dec ’23€8.62
€10.20
+18.3%
22.1%€14.00€7.10€7.086
Nov ’23€7.64
€10.20
+33.4%
22.1%€14.00€7.10€7.126

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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