Zotefoams plc

BATS-CHIXE:ZTFL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£167.7m

Zotefoams Valuation

Is ZTFL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ZTFL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ZTFL (£3.36) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£5.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ZTFL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ZTFL?

Key metric: As ZTFL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ZTFL. This is calculated by dividing ZTFL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ZTFL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.9x
EarningsUK£9.93m
Market CapUK£167.70m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ZTFL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ZTFL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.1x
TET Treatt
22.6x15.3%UK£255.9m
CAPD Capital
7.3x11.0%UK£168.8m
JLP Jubilee Metals Group
32.3x84.0%UK£153.6m
ECOR Ecora Resources
10.3x14.9%UK£162.5m
ZTFL Zotefoams
16.9xn/aUK£167.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ZTFL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the peer average (18.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ZTFL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies11PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ZTFL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (16.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ZTFL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ZTFL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ZTFL's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ZTFL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£3.36
UK£5.83
+73.4%
5.6%UK£6.15UK£5.50n/a2
Nov ’25UK£3.60
UK£5.83
+61.8%
5.6%UK£6.15UK£5.50n/a2
Oct ’25UK£4.06
UK£5.83
+43.5%
5.6%UK£6.15UK£5.50n/a2
Sep ’25UK£4.62
UK£5.83
+26.1%
5.6%UK£6.15UK£5.50n/a2
Aug ’25UK£5.00
UK£5.78
+15.5%
4.8%UK£6.05UK£5.50n/a2
Jul ’25UK£4.58
UK£5.78
+26.1%
4.8%UK£6.05UK£5.50n/a2
Jun ’25UK£5.64
UK£5.78
+2.4%
4.8%UK£6.05UK£5.50n/a2
May ’25UK£4.15
UK£4.60
+10.8%
8.7%UK£5.00UK£4.20n/a2
Apr ’25UK£3.88
UK£4.60
+18.6%
8.7%UK£5.00UK£4.20n/a2
Mar ’25UK£3.30
UK£4.50
+36.4%
6.7%UK£4.80UK£4.20n/a2
Feb ’25UK£3.80
UK£4.50
+18.4%
6.7%UK£4.80UK£4.20n/a2
Jan ’25UK£3.47
UK£4.50
+29.9%
6.7%UK£4.80UK£4.20n/a2
Dec ’24UK£3.29
UK£4.50
+36.8%
6.7%UK£4.80UK£4.20n/a2
Nov ’24UK£2.78
UK£4.50
+62.2%
6.7%UK£4.80UK£4.20UK£3.602
Oct ’24UK£3.40
UK£4.50
+32.4%
6.7%UK£4.80UK£4.20UK£4.062
Sep ’24UK£3.38
UK£4.23
+25.0%
0.6%UK£4.25UK£4.20UK£4.622
Aug ’24UK£4.00
UK£4.27
+6.7%
5.3%UK£4.55UK£4.00UK£5.003
Jul ’24UK£3.45
UK£4.27
+23.7%
5.3%UK£4.55UK£4.00UK£4.583
Jun ’24UK£3.40
UK£4.27
+25.5%
5.3%UK£4.55UK£4.00UK£5.643
May ’24UK£3.90
UK£4.27
+9.4%
5.3%UK£4.55UK£4.00UK£4.153
Apr ’24UK£3.85
UK£4.27
+10.8%
5.3%UK£4.55UK£4.00UK£3.883
Mar ’24UK£3.37
UK£4.27
+26.6%
5.3%UK£4.55UK£4.00UK£3.303
Feb ’24UK£3.69
UK£4.27
+15.6%
5.3%UK£4.55UK£4.00UK£3.803
Jan ’24UK£3.37
UK£3.93
+16.7%
12.5%UK£4.50UK£3.30UK£3.473
Dec ’23UK£3.07
UK£3.93
+28.1%
12.5%UK£4.50UK£3.30UK£3.293
Nov ’23UK£2.80
UK£3.93
+40.5%
12.5%UK£4.50UK£3.30UK£2.783

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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