Umicore Valuation

Is UMIB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UMIB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UMIB (€14.66) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€14.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UMIB is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UMIB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

UMIB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.2x
PEG Ratio-1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UMIB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UMIB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.7x
JMAT Johnson Matthey
26.6x32.9%UK£2.9b
CRDA Croda International
33.1x15.2%UK£5.7b
VCT Victrex
32.9x35.1%UK£1.0b
ELM Elementis
38x28.6%UK£848.3m
UMIB Umicore
8.9x-6.9%€3.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UMIB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x) compared to the peer average (32.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UMIB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UMIB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (18.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UMIB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UMIB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate UMIB's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UMIB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€14.66
€17.46
+19.2%
24.9%€29.00€13.00n/a17
Jun ’25n/a
€21.97
0%
16.1%€29.00€16.50n/a17
May ’25n/a
€24.39
0%
22.0%€40.00€18.00n/a18
Apr ’25n/a
€24.81
0%
21.0%€40.00€18.00n/a18
Mar ’25€19.88
€26.18
+31.7%
25.6%€46.00€18.00n/a20
Feb ’25€21.05
€27.15
+29.0%
22.8%€46.00€20.00n/a20
Jan ’25€25.01
€29.54
+18.1%
22.2%€50.00€21.00n/a20
Dec ’24€24.61
€29.84
+21.3%
21.2%€50.00€22.00n/a20
Nov ’24€22.34
€30.44
+36.3%
21.2%€50.00€22.00n/a20
Oct ’24€21.56
€30.89
+43.3%
19.0%€50.00€22.00n/a20
Sep ’24n/a
€31.04
0%
19.2%€50.00€22.00n/a19
Aug ’24n/a
€30.78
0%
19.9%€50.00€22.00n/a18
Jul ’24n/a
€32.63
0%
21.9%€53.00€22.00n/a16
Jun ’24€27.37
€33.25
+21.5%
21.8%€53.00€22.00n/a16
May ’24€29.30
€34.13
+16.5%
20.7%€53.00€25.00n/a15
Apr ’24€31.15
€34.06
+9.3%
20.2%€53.00€25.00n/a16
Mar ’24€31.32
€34.12
+8.9%
19.5%€53.00€25.00€19.8817
Feb ’24€34.36
€34.65
+0.9%
19.4%€53.00€25.00€21.0517
Jan ’24n/a
€35.78
0%
21.8%€54.00€25.00€25.0118
Dec ’23€34.30
€35.83
+4.5%
21.8%€54.00€25.00€24.6118
Nov ’23n/a
€35.78
0%
21.8%€54.00€25.00€22.3418
Oct ’23€30.03
€36.11
+20.3%
21.9%€54.00€25.00€21.5618
Sep ’23€33.70
€36.28
+7.6%
21.9%€54.00€25.00n/a18
Aug ’23€35.60
€36.22
+1.7%
22.0%€54.00€25.00n/a18
Jul ’23€33.16
€37.83
+14.1%
20.8%€54.00€26.00n/a18
Jun ’23€42.34
€38.40
-9.3%
21.0%€58.00€26.00€27.3720

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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