HEXPOL AB (publ)

BATS-CHIXE:HPOLBS Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 37.4b

HEXPOL Valuation

Is HPOLBS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HPOLBS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HPOLBS (SEK103.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK161.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HPOLBS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HPOLBS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HPOLBS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.1x
PEG Ratio2.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HPOLBS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HPOLBS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.1x
JMAT Johnson Matthey
24.3x28.4%UK£2.6b
CRDA Croda International
30.9x16.0%UK£5.0b
VCT Victrex
24.3x37.8%UK£747.0m
TET Treatt
25x15.3%UK£283.3m
HPOLBS HEXPOL
15.7x6.4%SEK 37.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HPOLBS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x) compared to the peer average (26.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HPOLBS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HPOLBS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (17.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HPOLBS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HPOLBS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HPOLBS's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HPOLBS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
SEK 128.17
0%
7.7%SEK 145.00SEK 114.00n/a6
Nov ’25SEK 103.40
SEK 128.00
+23.8%
7.8%SEK 145.00SEK 114.00n/a6
Oct ’25n/a
SEK 134.60
0%
7.7%SEK 147.00SEK 119.00n/a5
Sep ’25n/a
SEK 136.33
0%
7.5%SEK 147.00SEK 119.00n/a6
Aug ’25SEK 118.20
SEK 138.00
+16.8%
5.6%SEK 147.00SEK 129.00n/a6
Jul ’25n/a
SEK 140.50
0%
5.5%SEK 150.00SEK 129.00n/a6
Jun ’25n/a
SEK 140.17
0%
5.8%SEK 150.00SEK 129.00n/a6
May ’25SEK 128.30
SEK 136.67
+6.5%
10.5%SEK 150.00SEK 108.00n/a6
Apr ’25n/a
SEK 132.17
0%
9.7%SEK 147.00SEK 108.00n/a6
Mar ’25n/a
SEK 132.17
0%
9.7%SEK 147.00SEK 108.00n/a6
Feb ’25n/a
SEK 132.17
0%
9.7%SEK 147.00SEK 108.00n/a6
Jan ’25n/a
SEK 122.00
0%
6.6%SEK 130.00SEK 108.00n/a5
Dec ’24n/a
SEK 120.60
0%
6.7%SEK 130.00SEK 106.00n/a5
Nov ’24n/a
SEK 120.60
0%
6.7%SEK 130.00SEK 106.00SEK 103.405
Oct ’24n/a
SEK 122.80
0%
7.8%SEK 135.00SEK 107.00n/a5
Sep ’24n/a
SEK 122.80
0%
7.8%SEK 135.00SEK 107.00n/a5
Aug ’24n/a
SEK 122.80
0%
7.8%SEK 135.00SEK 107.00SEK 118.205
Jul ’24SEK 114.10
SEK 126.20
+10.6%
8.7%SEK 143.00SEK 110.00n/a5
Jun ’24SEK 111.70
SEK 126.20
+13.0%
8.7%SEK 143.00SEK 110.00n/a5
May ’24SEK 120.20
SEK 124.00
+3.2%
9.3%SEK 143.00SEK 110.00SEK 128.305
Apr ’24SEK 128.80
SEK 123.40
-4.2%
8.5%SEK 140.00SEK 110.00n/a5
Mar ’24SEK 116.80
SEK 116.75
-0.04%
3.5%SEK 120.00SEK 110.00n/a4
Feb ’24SEK 112.20
SEK 116.75
+4.1%
3.5%SEK 120.00SEK 110.00n/a4
Jan ’24SEK 113.00
SEK 124.25
+10.0%
9.7%SEK 142.00SEK 110.00n/a4
Dec ’23SEK 113.30
SEK 122.25
+7.9%
9.8%SEK 142.00SEK 110.00n/a4
Nov ’23SEK 106.90
SEK 121.75
+13.9%
10.3%SEK 142.00SEK 108.00n/a4

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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