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UFO

Alien Metals AIM:UFO Stock Report

Last Price

UK£0.007

Market Cap

UK£33.3m

7D

-6.7%

1Y

-22.2%

Updated

26 Jun, 2022

Data

Company Financials +
UFO fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends0/6

UFO Stock Overview

Alien Metals Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition and development of mineral resource assets.

Alien Metals Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Alien Metals
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUK£0.007
52 Week HighUK£0.012
52 Week LowUK£0.0055
Beta1.1
1 Month Change12.00%
3 Month Change-13.58%
1 Year Change-22.22%
3 Year Change418.52%
5 Year Change3.25%
Change since IPO-99.76%

Recent News & Updates

Shareholder Returns

UFOGB Metals and MiningGB Market
7D-6.7%-4.6%2.3%
1Y-22.2%-10.1%-8.6%

Return vs Industry: UFO underperformed the UK Metals and Mining industry which returned -10.1% over the past year.

Return vs Market: UFO underperformed the UK Market which returned -8.6% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is UFO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
UFO volatility
UFO Average Weekly Movement10.9%
Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement7.6%
Market Average Movement5.5%
10% most volatile stocks in GB Market10.8%
10% least volatile stocks in GB Market2.8%

Stable Share Price: UFO is more volatile than 90% of UK stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 11% a week.

Volatility Over Time: UFO's weekly volatility (11%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of UK stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
20065Bill Brodie Goodhttps://www.alienmetals.uk

Alien Metals Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition and development of mineral resource assets. The company explores for copper, zinc, lead, silver, gold, iron ore, and precious metal deposits. The company holds a 100% interest in Vivash Gorge Iron Ore Project located in the Pilbara region of Western Australia.

Alien Metals Fundamentals Summary

How do Alien Metals's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
UFO fundamental statistics
Market CapUS$40.97m
Earnings (TTM)-US$2.26m
Revenue (TTM)n/a

0.0x

P/S Ratio

-18.3x

P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
UFO income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$0
Cost of RevenueUS$0
Gross ProfitUS$0
Other ExpensesUS$2.26m
Earnings-US$2.26m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2021

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.00047
Gross Margin0.00%
Net Profit Margin0.00%
Debt/Equity Ratio0%

How did UFO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison
We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Valuation

Is UFO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • PEG Ratio

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UFO?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

UFO key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-15.6x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does UFO's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

UFO PB Ratio vs Peers
The above table shows the PB ratio for UFO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.1x
BHL Bradda Head Lithium
4.1xn/aUK£33.2m
BEM Beowulf Mining
2.5xn/aUK£34.1m
ARS Asiamet Resources
5.3xn/aUK£32.1m
RMM Rambler Metals and Mining
0.6xn/aUK£34.7m
UFO Alien Metals
3.3xn/aUK£33.3m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: UFO is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.3x) compared to the peer average (3.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UFO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Metals and Mining Industry?

Price-To-Book vs Industry: UFO is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.3x) compared to the UK Metals and Mining industry average (1.2x)


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UFO's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UFO PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio3.3x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate UFO's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UFO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UFO (£0.01) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£0.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UFO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate UFO's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


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Future Growth

How is Alien Metals forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 1 analyst?

Future Growth Score

2/6

Future Growth Score 2/6

  • Earnings vs Savings Rate

  • Earnings vs Market

  • High Growth Earnings

  • Revenue vs Market

  • High Growth Revenue

  • Future ROE


28.9%

Forecasted annual revenue growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: Insufficient data to determine if UFO's forecast earnings growth is above the savings rate (0.9%).

Earnings vs Market: Insufficient data to determine if UFO's earnings are forecast to grow faster than the UK market

High Growth Earnings: Insufficient data to determine if UFO's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: UFO's revenue (28.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (4.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: UFO's revenue (28.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if UFO's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


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Past Performance

How has Alien Metals performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

0/6

Past Performance Score 0/6

  • Quality Earnings

  • Growing Profit Margin

  • Earnings Trend

  • Accelerating Growth

  • Earnings vs Industry

  • High ROE


-0.7%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: UFO is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: UFO is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: UFO is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 0.7% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare UFO's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: UFO is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Metals and Mining industry (41.5%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: UFO has a negative Return on Equity (-18.4%), as it is currently unprofitable.


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Financial Health

How is Alien Metals's financial position?

Financial Health Score

5/6

Financial Health Score 5/6

  • Short Term Liabilities

  • Long Term Liabilities

  • Debt Level

  • Reducing Debt

  • Stable Cash Runway

  • Forecast Cash Runway

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: UFO's short term assets ($6.7M) exceed its short term liabilities ($767.0K).

Long Term Liabilities: UFO's short term assets ($6.7M) exceed its long term liabilities ($19.0K).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: UFO is debt free.

Reducing Debt: UFO had no debt 5 years ago.


Balance Sheet


Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: UFO has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years based on its current free cash flow.

Forecast Cash Runway: Insufficient data to determine if UFO has enough cash runway if its free cash flow continues to grow or shrink based on historical rates.


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Dividend

What is Alien Metals's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

0/6

Dividend Score 0/6

  • Notable Dividend

  • High Dividend

  • Stable Dividend

  • Growing Dividend

  • Earnings Coverage

  • Future Dividend Coverage

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate UFO's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate UFO's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if UFO's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if UFO's dividend payments have been increasing.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as UFO has not reported any payouts.


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Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

2.4yrs

Average board tenure


CEO

Bill Brodie Good (60 yo)

2.92yrs

Tenure

US$276,000

Compensation

Mr. Douglas William Brodie Good, BSc and BA (Hons) also known as Bill, serves as Executive Director at Alien Metals Ltd since July 4, 2019 and also as its Technical Director since July 5, 2019. He serves a...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Bill's total compensation ($USD276.00K) is about average for companies of similar size in the UK market ($USD335.53K).

Compensation vs Earnings: Bill's compensation has increased whilst the company is unprofitable.


Board Members

Experienced Board: UFO's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 2.4 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 39%.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Alien Metals Ltd's employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Alien Metals Ltd
  • Ticker: UFO
  • Exchange: AIM
  • Founded: 2006
  • Industry: Diversified Metals and Mining
  • Sector: Materials
  • Implied Market Cap: UK£33.336m
  • Shares outstanding: 4.76b
  • Website: https://www.alienmetals.uk

Number of Employees


Location

  • Alien Metals Ltd
  • Green Park Hous
  • 15 Stratton Street
  • London
  • Greater London
  • W1J 8LQ
  • United Kingdom

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2022/06/26 00:00
End of Day Share Price2022/06/24 00:00
Earnings2021/12/31
Annual Earnings2021/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.