Hummingbird Resources PLC

AIM:HUM Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£15.6m

Hummingbird Resources Valuation

Is HUM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HUM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HUM (£0.02) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£8.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HUM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HUM?

Key metric: As HUM is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for HUM. This is calculated by dividing HUM's market cap by their current revenue.
What is HUM's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesUS$129.05m
Market CapUS$19.71m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does HUM's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for HUM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
GDP Goldplat
0.2x-12.5%UK£10.7m
PRIM Primorus Investments
1.7xn/aUK£5.6m
CNG China Nonferrous Gold
0.09xn/aUK£5.0m
GRL Goldstone Resources
2.1xn/aUK£7.5m
HUM Hummingbird Resources
0.2x75.7%UK£15.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: HUM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does HUM's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Metals and Mining Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.0x1.5%
HUM Hummingbird Resources
0.2x75.7%US$19.52m
GLEN Glencore
0.3x-0.8%US$58.48b
NLMK Novolipetsk Steel
0.3xn/aUS$4.08b
HUM 0.2xIndustry Avg. 2.0xNo. of Companies14PS01.22.43.64.86+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.0x21.6%
HUM Hummingbird Resources
0.2x186.1%US$19.52m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: HUM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the UK Metals and Mining industry average (2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HUM's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HUM PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio7.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: HUM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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