Central Asia Metals plc

AIM:CAML Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£263.8m

Central Asia Metals Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Central Asia Metals's revenue is forecast to decline at 0.7% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 54% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 54.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 16.8% in 3 years.

Key information

54.0%

Earnings growth rate

54.60%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth16.9%
Revenue growth rate-0.7%
Future return on equity16.77%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated01 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • May 02

CAML: Updated Cash Returns And Buybacks Will Support Bullish Re Rating Potential

The latest analyst price target for Central Asia Metals has edged up by £0.00 as analysts factor in updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and a slightly lower future P/E, even as recent research from firms such as RBC Capital has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Recent research has become more cautious on Central Asia Metals, but there is still a clear split in how analysts frame the opportunity.
Narrative Update • Apr 17

CAML: Higher Discount Rate And Downgrade Will Shape Balanced But Limited Upside

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Central Asia Metals to £1.62 from £1.98. This reflects updated views on a higher discount rate, more cautious revenue growth assumptions, a slightly stronger profit margin outlook, and a lower future P/E multiple following recent downgrades.
Narrative Update • Apr 02

CAML: Higher Profit Margins And Cash Returns Will Support Bullish Re Rating Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Central Asia Metals to £2.40 from £2.45, citing updated assumptions that combine a lower revenue growth outlook, higher expected profit margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Even with a trimmed price target to £2.40, analyst commentary still highlights areas where Central Asia Metals could appeal to investors who are comfortable with the risks of the sector and the company’s specific profile.
New Narrative • Mar 28

A Case for Central Asia Metals to reach £15 by 2031 in a commodities bull market.

Central Asia Metals plc (AIM: CAML) is a London-listed base metals producer focused on low-cost copper, lead, and zinc output from two core assets: the Kounrad in-situ dump leach SX-EW copper operation in Kazakhstan (100% owned, in production since 2012) and the Sasa underground lead-zinc-silver mine in North Macedonia (100% owned, acquired 2017). In 2025, it completed the acquisition of New World Resources and its high-grade Antler copper project in Arizona, USA — a transformative catalyst that materially expands its copper exposure in a US critical minerals jurisdiction.
Narrative Update • Mar 19

CAML: Higher Production Guidance And Margin Assumptions Will Support Bullish Re Rating Potential

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Central Asia Metals from £2.41 to £2.45, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple despite a higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around the revised £2.45 fair value points to a mixed but constructive setup, with bullish analysts focusing on where the current valuation may not fully reflect the updated assumptions on revenue, margins and the applied P/E multiple.
Narrative Update • Mar 05

CAML: Higher 2026 Metal Production Guidance Will Support Upside Potential

Narrative update on Central Asia Metals Analysts have modestly raised their fair value estimate for Central Asia Metals from £1.96 to £2.20. This reflects updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly higher discount rate following recent Street research, including the latest downgrade.
Narrative Update • Feb 19

CAML: Higher Discount Rate And RBC Downgrade Will Restrain Future Upside

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Central Asia Metals from about £1.80 to about £1.98, reflecting updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, stronger profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E, even as they apply a higher discount rate following recent research, including a downgrade at RBC Capital. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are taking a more guarded stance despite the higher fair value estimate around £1.98, pointing to valuation sensitivity and potential execution risks that could challenge the investment case if assumptions do not play out as expected.
Narrative Update • Feb 04

CAML: Future Production Guidance And Mixed Views Will Shape A Balanced Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Central Asia Metals by a small amount, to about £2.41 from roughly £2.40, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, modestly higher revenue expectations and a slightly richer future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Central Asia Metals has been mixed, but bullish analysts still see several constructive angles that tie back to valuation support, potential revenue strength and room for execution to add value over time.
Narrative Update • Jan 20

CAML: Future Production Guidance Will Support A More Optimistic Price Outlook

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Central Asia Metals from £2.17 to £2.40. They point to updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples as the key drivers of the change.
Analysis Article • Sep 11

Return Trends At Central Asia Metals (LON:CAML) Aren't Appealing

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to...
Analysis Article • Jul 12

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Central Asia Metals plc (LON:CAML)

Key Insights Central Asia Metals' estimated fair value is UK£1.71 based on Dividend Discount Model Central Asia Metals...
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New Narrative • Feb 09

Solar Plant At Kounrad And Exploration Investments Will Expand Future Opportunities

Transitioning to paste-fill mining and project upgrades aim to enhance efficiencies and reduce costs, positively impacting long-term operational stability.
Analysis Article • Apr 11

Central Asia Metals (LON:CAML) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.09

The board of Central Asia Metals plc ( LON:CAML ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.09 per share on the...
Analysis Article • Mar 31

Central Asia Metals plc (LON:CAML) Stock Rockets 27% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

Central Asia Metals plc ( LON:CAML ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period...
Analysis Article • Mar 28

Central Asia Metals (LON:CAML) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.09

Central Asia Metals plc ( LON:CAML ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.09 per share on the 22nd of May...
Analysis Article • Dec 20

With Central Asia Metals plc (LON:CAML) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For

When close to half the companies in the Metals and Mining industry in the United Kingdom have price-to-sales ratios (or...
Analysis Article • Oct 08

Central Asia Metals (LON:CAML) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and...
Analysis Article • Sep 05

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Central Asia Metals plc (LON:CAML)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Central Asia Metals is UK£2.10 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...
Analysis Article • Sep 17

Central Asia Metals (LON:CAML) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To $0.10

Central Asia Metals plc's ( LON:CAML ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to $0.10...
Analysis Article • Apr 24

Central Asia Metals' (LON:CAML) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Central Asia Metals plc ( LON:CAML ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 30th of May to...
Analysis Article • Apr 02

Central Asia Metals' (LON:CAML) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

The board of Central Asia Metals plc ( LON:CAML ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 30th of...
Analysis Article • Jun 05

Central Asia Metals (LON:CAML) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Analysis Article • May 15

Most Shareholders Will Probably Agree With Central Asia Metals plc's (LON:CAML) CEO Compensation

Despite positive share price growth of 12% for Central Asia Metals plc ( LON:CAML ) over the last few years, earnings...
Analysis Article • May 06

Here's What You Should Know About Central Asia Metals plc's (LON:CAML) 5.7% Dividend Yield

Could Central Asia Metals plc ( LON:CAML ) be an attractive dividend share to own for the long haul? Investors are...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

AIM:CAML - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20282486373964
12/31/202726570811074
12/31/202627569821083
12/31/2025230-754364N/A
9/30/2025221-184263N/A
6/30/2025212384162N/A
3/31/2025213454768N/A
12/31/2024214525374N/A
9/30/2024213455073N/A
6/30/2024212384671N/A
3/31/2024208384268N/A
12/31/2023203373765N/A
9/30/2023202194266N/A
6/30/202320114767N/A
3/31/2023211186484N/A
12/31/20222213482100N/A
9/30/20222297092108N/A
6/30/2022236107101116N/A
3/31/20222309599114N/A
12/31/20212238498113N/A
9/30/20212077091104N/A
6/30/2021190568395N/A
3/31/2021175507181N/A
12/31/2020160445967N/A
9/30/2020159435767N/A
6/30/2020157435567N/A
3/31/2020164476374N/A
12/31/2019172527081N/A
6/30/201918354N/A83N/A
3/31/201918954N/A83N/A
12/31/201819455N/A84N/A
6/30/201816250N/A69N/A
3/31/201813243N/A58N/A
12/31/201710236N/A46N/A
9/30/20178834N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20177432N/A39N/A
3/31/20177029N/A37N/A
12/31/20166727N/A36N/A
9/30/20166627N/A33N/A
6/30/20166528N/A30N/A
3/31/20166525N/A27N/A
12/31/20156423N/A23N/A
9/30/20156720N/A32N/A
6/30/20157018N/A40N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CAML is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: CAML is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: CAML is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: CAML's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CAML's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.7% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CAML's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16.8%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/27 14:21
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/27 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Central Asia Metals plc is covered by 10 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard HatchBerenberg
Alexander Robert PearceBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Timothy HuffCanaccord Genuity