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Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Anglo Asian Mining (LON:AAZ)
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at Anglo Asian Mining (LON:AAZ) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Anglo Asian Mining is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.023 = US$3.7m ÷ (US$180m - US$16m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).
So, Anglo Asian Mining has an ROCE of 2.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Metals and Mining industry average of 9.2%.
Check out our latest analysis for Anglo Asian Mining
In the above chart we have measured Anglo Asian Mining's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Anglo Asian Mining.
What Can We Tell From Anglo Asian Mining's ROCE Trend?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Anglo Asian Mining, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 14% over the last five years. However it looks like Anglo Asian Mining might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a related note, Anglo Asian Mining has decreased its current liabilities to 8.9% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
What We Can Learn From Anglo Asian Mining's ROCE
In summary, Anglo Asian Mining is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 16% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
If you'd like to know more about Anglo Asian Mining, we've spotted 3 warning signs, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About AIM:AAZ
Anglo Asian Mining
Engages in the exploration and production of mineral properties in Azerbaijan.
High growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.