McBride Valuation

Is MCBL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MCBL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MCBL (£1.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£2.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MCBL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MCBL?

Key metric: As MCBL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MCBL. This is calculated by dividing MCBL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MCBL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.4x
EarningsUK£33.30m
Market CapUK£181.02m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MCBL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MCBL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35x
RKT Reckitt Benckiser Group
21.4x11.3%UK£33.0b
APN Applied Nutrition
25.5xn/aUK£347.5m
W7L Warpaint London
24x11.8%UK£410.5m
VLG Venture Life Group
69.3x67.1%UK£51.5m
MCBL McBride
5.4x-0.2%UK£181.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MCBL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.4x) compared to the peer average (35x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MCBL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Household Products Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies14PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MCBL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.4x) compared to the Global Household Products industry average (17.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MCBL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MCBL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.4x
Fair PE Ratio10.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MCBL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MCBL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£1.04
UK£1.67
+60.6%
4.8%UK£1.75UK£1.59n/a2
Nov ’25UK£1.15
UK£1.67
+45.9%
4.8%UK£1.75UK£1.59n/a2
Oct ’25UK£1.20
UK£1.67
+39.7%
4.8%UK£1.75UK£1.59n/a2
Sep ’25UK£1.32
UK£1.67
+26.5%
4.8%UK£1.75UK£1.59n/a2
Aug ’25UK£1.31
UK£1.67
+27.5%
4.8%UK£1.75UK£1.59n/a2
Jul ’25UK£1.39
UK£1.29
-7.2%
1.2%UK£1.30UK£1.27n/a2
Jun ’25UK£1.23
UK£1.29
+4.5%
1.2%UK£1.30UK£1.27n/a2
May ’25UK£1.07
UK£1.29
+20.7%
1.2%UK£1.30UK£1.27n/a2
Apr ’25UK£0.99
UK£1.16
+16.7%
3.4%UK£1.20UK£1.12n/a2
Mar ’25UK£0.89
UK£1.16
+30.3%
3.4%UK£1.20UK£1.12n/a2
Feb ’25UK£0.71
UK£1.04
+45.7%
3.8%UK£1.08UK£1.00n/a2
Jan ’25UK£0.80
UK£0.86
+7.5%
16.3%UK£1.00UK£0.72n/a2
Dec ’24UK£0.71
UK£0.86
+21.1%
16.3%UK£1.00UK£0.72n/a2
Nov ’24UK£0.42
UK£0.72
+71.8%
17.2%UK£0.85UK£0.60UK£1.152
Oct ’24UK£0.39
UK£0.45
+14.2%
11.1%UK£0.50UK£0.40UK£1.202
Sep ’24UK£0.38
UK£0.38
-1.3%
6.7%UK£0.40UK£0.35UK£1.322
Aug ’24UK£0.38
UK£0.38
0%
6.7%UK£0.40UK£0.35UK£1.312
Jul ’24UK£0.26
UK£0.38
+44.2%
6.7%UK£0.40UK£0.35UK£1.392
Jun ’24n/a
UK£0.38
0%
6.7%UK£0.40UK£0.35UK£1.232
May ’24UK£0.31
UK£0.38
+22.1%
6.7%UK£0.40UK£0.35UK£1.072
Apr ’24UK£0.27
UK£0.35
+28.2%
14.3%UK£0.40UK£0.30UK£0.992
Mar ’24UK£0.26
UK£0.35
+36.7%
14.3%UK£0.40UK£0.30UK£0.892
Feb ’24UK£0.23
UK£0.35
+52.2%
14.3%UK£0.40UK£0.30UK£0.712
Jan ’24n/a
UK£0.35
0%
14.3%UK£0.40UK£0.30UK£0.802
Dec ’23UK£0.21
UK£0.35
+69.1%
14.3%UK£0.40UK£0.30UK£0.712
Nov ’23UK£0.23
UK£0.35
+51.5%
14.3%UK£0.40UK£0.30UK£0.422

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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