Henkel AG & Co. KGaA

BATS-CHIXE:HEN3D Stock Report

Market Cap: €32.6b

Henkel KGaA Valuation

Is HEN3D undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HEN3D when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HEN3D (€83.81) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€139.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HEN3D is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HEN3D?

Key metric: As HEN3D is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HEN3D. This is calculated by dividing HEN3D's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HEN3D's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.6x
Earnings€1.78b
Market Cap€32.57b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HEN3D's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HEN3D vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.2x
RKT Reckitt Benckiser Group
21.5x10.6%UK£33.2b
HLN Haleon
28.8x10.6%UK£34.8b
MCB McBride
5.6x-0.2%UK£185.4m
ULVR Unilever
20.8x5.7%UK£114.1b
HEN3D Henkel KGaA
19.6x6.5%€32.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HEN3D is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the peer average (19.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HEN3D's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Household Products Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies15PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HEN3D is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the Global Household Products industry average (17.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HEN3D's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HEN3D PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HEN3D's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HEN3D forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€83.81
€85.11
+1.5%
8.1%€100.00€73.00n/a19
Dec ’25n/a
€84.95
0%
7.8%€100.00€73.00n/a19
Nov ’25€79.30
€85.06
+7.3%
5.9%€95.00€77.00n/a18
Oct ’25€82.30
€83.79
+1.8%
7.8%€95.00€67.00n/a19
Sep ’25€81.02
€83.84
+3.5%
7.9%€95.00€67.00n/a19
Aug ’25€79.38
€83.42
+5.1%
8.1%€95.00€67.00n/a19
Jul ’25€82.74
€81.68
-1.3%
7.9%€94.00€67.00n/a19
Jun ’25n/a
€81.32
0%
7.9%€94.00€67.00n/a19
May ’25€72.77
€74.37
+2.2%
9.0%€87.00€61.00n/a19
Apr ’25n/a
€73.37
0%
9.9%€87.00€60.00n/a19
Mar ’25€69.72
€73.35
+5.2%
10.1%€87.00€60.00n/a20
Feb ’25€70.89
€73.30
+3.4%
10.1%€87.00€60.00n/a20
Jan ’25n/a
€72.65
0%
10.8%€87.00€59.00n/a20
Dec ’24€71.16
€72.25
+1.5%
10.6%€87.00€59.00n/a20
Nov ’24€68.58
€71.11
+3.7%
11.0%€89.00€59.00€79.3019
Oct ’24€67.56
€71.63
+6.0%
10.9%€89.00€59.00€82.3019
Sep ’24€72.08
€71.75
-0.5%
11.0%€89.00€59.00€81.0220
Aug ’24n/a
€70.35
0%
11.6%€87.00€58.00€79.3820
Jul ’24€73.30
€69.95
-4.6%
11.8%€87.00€58.00€82.7420
Jun ’24€74.52
€69.75
-6.4%
12.4%€87.00€55.00n/a20
May ’24€72.67
€68.16
-6.2%
12.1%€83.00€52.00€72.7719
Apr ’24€72.87
€66.27
-9.1%
13.7%€83.00€48.40n/a20
Mar ’24€68.66
€65.97
-3.9%
14.2%€86.00€48.40€69.7220
Feb ’24€65.12
€66.02
+1.4%
14.3%€86.00€48.40€70.8920
Jan ’24n/a
€66.27
0%
13.7%€86.00€48.40n/a20
Dec ’23€68.80
€66.78
-2.9%
13.9%€89.00€48.40€71.1621

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 10:31
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Henkel AG & Co. KGaA is covered by 60 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Martin SchneeAlphaValue
Gerhard SchwarzBaader Helvea Equity Research
Pedro Gil Garcia AlejoBanco Santander