DexCom Valuation

Is 0A4M undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0A4M when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0A4M ($72.77) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($126.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0A4M is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0A4M?

Key metric: As 0A4M is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0A4M. This is calculated by dividing 0A4M's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0A4M's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio41.8x
EarningsUS$680.80m
Market CapUS$28.45b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0A4M's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0A4M vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.6x
SN. Smith & Nephew
35.4x22.5%UK£8.6b
NIOX NIOX Group
23.2x17.1%UK£255.5m
CTEC ConvaTec Group
39.5x20.5%UK£4.8b
EKF EKF Diagnostics Holdings
24.4xn/aUK£116.6m
0A4M DexCom
41.8x16.8%US$28.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0A4M is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.8x) compared to the peer average (30.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0A4M's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Medical Equipment Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0A4M 41.8xIndustry Avg. 29.5xNo. of Companies7PE01632486480+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0A4M is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.8x) compared to the European Medical Equipment industry average (29.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0A4M's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0A4M PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio41.8x
Fair PE Ratio51.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0A4M is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0A4M forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$72.77
US$95.31
+31.0%
12.0%US$120.00US$75.00n/a24
Nov ’25US$70.07
US$95.66
+36.5%
11.8%US$120.00US$75.00n/a24
Oct ’25US$65.79
US$95.87
+45.7%
15.7%US$130.00US$75.00n/a24
Sep ’25US$69.46
US$95.87
+38.0%
15.7%US$130.00US$75.00n/a24
Aug ’25US$70.62
US$98.34
+39.3%
20.6%US$152.15US$75.00n/a24
Jul ’25US$111.26
US$150.34
+35.1%
9.2%US$170.00US$105.00n/a24
Jun ’25US$117.31
US$150.34
+28.2%
9.2%US$170.00US$105.00n/a24
May ’25US$126.28
US$150.38
+19.1%
8.9%US$170.00US$105.00n/a23
Apr ’25US$139.13
US$148.03
+6.4%
9.1%US$170.00US$105.00n/a23
Mar ’25US$122.04
US$146.39
+20.0%
8.8%US$170.00US$105.00n/a22
Feb ’25US$123.16
US$142.29
+15.5%
10.2%US$170.00US$105.00n/a20
Jan ’25US$124.56
US$133.51
+7.2%
11.1%US$161.00US$105.00n/a22
Dec ’24US$116.60
US$125.37
+7.5%
11.4%US$155.00US$101.00n/a22
Nov ’24US$93.54
US$125.98
+34.7%
11.8%US$155.00US$101.00US$70.0722
Oct ’24US$94.00
US$142.12
+51.2%
12.2%US$160.00US$92.00US$65.7921
Sep ’24US$100.95
US$146.55
+45.2%
10.7%US$175.00US$92.00US$69.4621
Aug ’24US$122.50
US$147.09
+20.1%
10.6%US$175.00US$92.00US$70.6221
Jul ’24US$129.00
US$139.42
+8.1%
10.2%US$152.00US$92.00US$111.2620
Jun ’24US$118.12
US$138.27
+17.1%
10.0%US$150.00US$92.00US$117.3120
May ’24US$121.74
US$137.91
+13.3%
10.2%US$150.00US$92.00US$126.2820
Apr ’24US$115.02
US$130.81
+13.7%
10.4%US$150.00US$92.00US$139.1320
Mar ’24US$111.16
US$129.69
+16.7%
10.2%US$150.00US$92.00US$122.0419
Feb ’24US$106.41
US$127.00
+19.4%
11.5%US$150.00US$92.00US$123.1618
Jan ’24US$110.85
US$126.94
+14.5%
11.9%US$150.00US$92.00US$124.5617
Dec ’23US$117.46
US$121.12
+3.1%
9.4%US$140.00US$92.00US$116.6017
Nov ’23US$120.06
US$121.12
+0.9%
9.4%US$140.00US$92.00US$93.5417

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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