Stock Analysis

What NIOX Group Plc's (LON:NIOX) P/E Is Not Telling You

AIM:NIOX
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When close to half the companies in the United Kingdom have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider NIOX Group Plc (LON:NIOX) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 27.3x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, NIOX Group's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for NIOX Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:NIOX Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 25th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think NIOX Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For NIOX Group?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as NIOX Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 33% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 17% per year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

With this information, we find it interesting that NIOX Group is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that NIOX Group currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for NIOX Group that we have uncovered.

You might be able to find a better investment than NIOX Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NIOX Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.