Stock Analysis

Why Coca-Cola HBC AG (LON:CCH) Could Be Worth Watching

LSE:CCH
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Coca-Cola HBC AG (LON:CCH) saw significant share price movement during recent months on the LSE, rising to highs of UK£24.32 and falling to the lows of UK£22.10. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Coca-Cola HBC's current trading price of UK£22.47 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Coca-Cola HBC’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Coca-Cola HBC

Is Coca-Cola HBC Still Cheap?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Coca-Cola HBC’s ratio of 14.86x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 18.65x, which means if you buy Coca-Cola HBC today, you’d be paying a decent price for it. And if you believe Coca-Cola HBC should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Furthermore, it seems like Coca-Cola HBC’s share price is quite stable, which means there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s priced similarly to industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What kind of growth will Coca-Cola HBC generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
LSE:CCH Earnings and Revenue Growth September 14th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 39% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Coca-Cola HBC. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? CCH’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at CCH? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on CCH, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for CCH, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Coca-Cola HBC, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.