Stock Analysis

Is There Now An Opportunity In Coca-Cola HBC AG (LON:CCH)?

LSE:CCH
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Coca-Cola HBC AG (LON:CCH), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the LSE. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Coca-Cola HBC’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for Coca-Cola HBC

What Is Coca-Cola HBC Worth?

Coca-Cola HBC appears to be overvalued by 29% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at UK£20.44 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of £15.86. This means that the opportunity to buy Coca-Cola HBC at a good price has disappeared! Furthermore, Coca-Cola HBC’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. If you believe the share price should eventually reach its true value, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.

Can we expect growth from Coca-Cola HBC?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
LSE:CCH Earnings and Revenue Growth November 27th 2022

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 62% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Coca-Cola HBC. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? CCH’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe CCH should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on CCH for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for CCH, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Coca-Cola HBC at this point in time. While conducting our analysis, we found that Coca-Cola HBC has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.