Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC

LSE:CCEP Stock Report

Market Cap: €31.2b

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Valuation

Is CCEP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CCEP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CCEP (€68) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€116.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CCEP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CCEP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CCEP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.1x
PEG Ratio2.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CCEP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CCEP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average36.1x
CCH Coca-Cola HBC
18.7x10.2%UK£10.2b
BVIC Britvic
19.2x12.6%UK£2.5b
FEVR Fevertree Drinks
89.4x34.6%UK£1.4b
BAG A.G. BARR
17.2x11.2%UK£662.6m
CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners
18.7x8.1%€31.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CCEP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the peer average (36.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CCEP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CCEP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (18.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CCEP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CCEP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.7x
Fair PE Ratio22x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CCEP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CCEP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€68.00
€72.44
+6.5%
9.4%€80.00€56.00n/a13
May ’25€67.20
€71.29
+6.1%
9.1%€79.00€56.00n/a13
Apr ’25€66.00
€69.79
+5.7%
10.3%€79.00€54.00n/a13
Mar ’25€63.50
€68.92
+8.5%
11.4%€79.00€54.00n/a14
Feb ’25€64.00
€66.88
+4.5%
11.3%€77.00€54.00n/a14
Jan ’25€59.50
€64.72
+8.8%
11.2%€77.00€54.00n/a14
Dec ’24€55.00
€64.29
+16.9%
10.1%€77.00€54.50n/a13
Nov ’24€55.50
€64.49
+16.2%
9.4%€77.00€55.00n/a13
Oct ’24€59.50
€65.10
+9.4%
9.2%€77.00€55.00n/a13
Sep ’24€58.50
€65.95
+12.7%
9.4%€77.00€55.00n/a14
Aug ’24€57.50
€63.76
+10.9%
9.0%€75.00€54.00n/a14
Jul ’24€59.00
€62.43
+5.8%
9.1%€73.00€54.00n/a13
Jun ’24€58.25
€62.27
+6.9%
8.7%€73.00€54.00n/a13
May ’24€58.00
€61.89
+6.7%
9.5%€73.00€53.00€67.2013
Apr ’24€54.40
€59.39
+9.2%
11.1%€70.00€46.50€66.0013
Mar ’24€50.80
€59.39
+16.9%
11.1%€70.00€46.50€63.5013
Feb ’24€51.20
€59.70
+16.6%
10.3%€69.00€46.50€64.0013
Jan ’24€52.00
€59.65
+14.7%
10.0%€70.00€46.50€59.5014
Dec ’23€51.20
€59.37
+15.9%
10.3%€70.00€46.50€55.0014
Nov ’23€47.85
€57.62
+20.4%
10.6%€66.90€44.00€55.5013
Oct ’23€44.15
€58.47
+32.4%
10.2%€66.90€44.00€59.5013
Sep ’23€48.40
€58.79
+21.5%
10.0%€66.90€44.00€58.5014
Aug ’23€53.00
€57.10
+7.7%
8.8%€63.00€44.00€57.5014
Jul ’23€50.20
€55.89
+11.3%
12.6%€67.00€39.00€59.0015
Jun ’23€48.95
€56.09
+14.6%
12.7%€67.00€39.00€58.2515
May ’23€48.70
€56.09
+15.2%
12.7%€67.00€39.00€58.0015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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