Stock Analysis

Bakkavor Group (LON:BAKK) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At £0.048

Bakkavor Group plc (LON:BAKK) will increase its dividend on the 28th of May to £0.048, which is 9.8% higher than last year's payment from the same period of £0.0437. This makes the dividend yield 5.3%, which is above the industry average.

View our latest analysis for Bakkavor Group

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Bakkavor Group's Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. The last payment made up 83% of earnings, but cash flows were much higher. Since the dividend is just paying out cash to shareholders, we care more about the cash payout ratio from which we can see plenty is being left over for reinvestment in the business.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 38.4%. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 67% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.

historic-dividend
LSE:BAKK Historic Dividend March 7th 2025

Bakkavor Group's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Even in its relatively short history, the company has reduced the dividend at least once. Due to this, we are a little bit cautious about the dividend consistency over a full economic cycle. Since 2018, the annual payment back then was £0.04, compared to the most recent full-year payment of £0.08. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 10% over that duration. Bakkavor Group has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

The Dividend Has Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. We are encouraged to see that Bakkavor Group has grown earnings per share at 8.7% per year over the past five years. EPS has been growing at a reasonable rate, although with most of the profits being paid out to shareholders, growth prospects could be more limited in the future.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Bakkavor Group's payments are rock solid. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Bakkavor Group that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About LSE:BAKK

Bakkavor Group

Engages in the preparation and marketing of fresh prepared foods in the United Kingdom, the United States, and China.

Adequate balance sheet with moderate growth potential.

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