Stock Analysis
- United Kingdom
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- LSE:ABF
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Associated British Foods plc (LON:ABF)?
Associated British Foods plc (LON:ABF) received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the LSE over the last few months, increasing to UK£25.14 at one point, and dropping to the lows of UK£21.63. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Associated British Foods' current trading price of UK£22.93 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Associated British Foods’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
See our latest analysis for Associated British Foods
What's The Opportunity In Associated British Foods?
According to our valuation model, Associated British Foods seems to be fairly priced at around 18% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Associated British Foods today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is £28.12, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Associated British Foods’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
Can we expect growth from Associated British Foods?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 25% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Associated British Foods. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in ABF’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ABF, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you want to dive deeper into Associated British Foods, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Associated British Foods you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:ABF
Associated British Foods
Operates as a diversified food, ingredients, and retail company worldwide.