Nestlé Valuation
Is 0QR4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 0QR4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 0QR4 (CHF75.98) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF154.88)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 0QR4 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0QR4?
Key metric: As 0QR4 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 0QR4's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 17.5x |
| Earnings | CHF 11.20b |
| Market Cap | CHF 196.34b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 14.1x |
| PEG Ratio | 3.5x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 0QR4's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 17.6x | ||
ABF Associated British Foods | 11.1x | 5.6% | UK£16.1b |
TATE Tate & Lyle | 21.1x | 19.3% | UK£3.3b |
CWK Cranswick | 23.2x | 8.7% | UK£2.7b |
PFD Premier Foods | 15.2x | 6.3% | UK£1.7b |
0QR4 Nestlé | 17.5x | 5.0% | CHF 196.3b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0QR4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the peer average (17.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 0QR4's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?
| 3 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0QR4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 0QR4's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 17.5x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 23.3x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0QR4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | CHF 75.98 | CHF 91.09 +19.9% | 10.1% | CHF 110.00 | CHF 76.00 | n/a | 23 |
| Nov ’25 | CHF 82.23 | CHF 92.83 +12.9% | 9.4% | CHF 111.00 | CHF 80.00 | n/a | 23 |
| Oct ’25 | CHF 85.01 | CHF 97.93 +15.2% | 9.3% | CHF 120.00 | CHF 84.00 | n/a | 23 |
| Sep ’25 | CHF 91.19 | CHF 100.52 +10.2% | 9.5% | CHF 120.00 | CHF 87.00 | n/a | 23 |
| Aug ’25 | CHF 89.14 | CHF 100.61 +12.9% | 8.6% | CHF 120.00 | CHF 87.00 | n/a | 23 |
| Jul ’25 | CHF 92.46 | CHF 106.04 +14.7% | 9.3% | CHF 123.00 | CHF 86.00 | n/a | 23 |
| Jun ’25 | CHF 95.60 | CHF 107.48 +12.4% | 8.7% | CHF 123.00 | CHF 86.00 | n/a | 23 |
| May ’25 | CHF 92.20 | CHF 108.33 +17.5% | 9.2% | CHF 124.00 | CHF 84.50 | n/a | 23 |
| Apr ’25 | CHF 95.46 | CHF 108.80 +14.0% | 8.9% | CHF 124.00 | CHF 84.50 | n/a | 23 |
| Mar ’25 | CHF 92.20 | CHF 108.50 +17.7% | 8.7% | CHF 124.00 | CHF 86.00 | n/a | 24 |
| Feb ’25 | CHF 98.27 | CHF 112.31 +14.3% | 10.2% | CHF 126.00 | CHF 86.00 | n/a | 24 |
| Jan ’25 | CHF 97.50 | CHF 113.00 +15.9% | 9.8% | CHF 127.00 | CHF 86.00 | n/a | 24 |
| Dec ’24 | CHF 98.83 | CHF 115.38 +16.7% | 8.4% | CHF 130.00 | CHF 97.00 | n/a | 24 |
| Nov ’24 | CHF 99.50 | CHF 116.65 +17.2% | 8.1% | CHF 130.00 | CHF 97.00 | CHF 82.23 | 23 |
| Oct ’24 | CHF 103.96 | CHF 119.00 +14.5% | 9.1% | CHF 135.00 | CHF 97.00 | CHF 85.01 | 23 |
| Sep ’24 | CHF 105.46 | CHF 120.06 +13.8% | 8.0% | CHF 135.00 | CHF 97.00 | CHF 91.19 | 25 |
| Aug ’24 | CHF 106.99 | CHF 120.02 +12.2% | 8.3% | CHF 135.00 | CHF 97.00 | CHF 89.14 | 24 |
| Jul ’24 | CHF 107.69 | CHF 121.14 +12.5% | 8.0% | CHF 135.00 | CHF 98.00 | CHF 92.46 | 24 |
| Jun ’24 | CHF 108.83 | CHF 121.83 +11.9% | 7.8% | CHF 135.00 | CHF 98.00 | CHF 95.60 | 24 |
| May ’24 | CHF 114.57 | CHF 121.29 +5.9% | 8.3% | CHF 135.00 | CHF 95.00 | CHF 92.20 | 24 |
| Apr ’24 | CHF 111.15 | CHF 119.62 +7.6% | 8.3% | CHF 135.00 | CHF 95.00 | CHF 95.46 | 24 |
| Mar ’24 | CHF 105.89 | CHF 120.08 +13.4% | 8.0% | CHF 135.00 | CHF 100.00 | CHF 92.20 | 25 |
| Feb ’24 | CHF 111.01 | CHF 119.95 +8.1% | 8.2% | CHF 135.00 | CHF 100.00 | CHF 98.27 | 24 |
| Jan ’24 | CHF 107.14 | CHF 118.75 +10.8% | 9.1% | CHF 135.00 | CHF 95.00 | CHF 97.50 | 24 |
| Dec ’23 | CHF 113.72 | CHF 119.04 +4.7% | 9.3% | CHF 135.00 | CHF 95.00 | CHF 98.83 | 24 |
| Nov ’23 | CHF 108.77 | CHF 119.36 +9.7% | 9.4% | CHF 135.00 | CHF 95.00 | CHF 99.50 | 25 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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