Barry Callebaut Valuation

Is 0QO7 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0QO7 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
CHF 5.28k
Fair Value
78.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 0QO7 (CHF1115) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF5282.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0QO7 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0QO7?

Key metric: As 0QO7 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0QO7. This is calculated by dividing 0QO7's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0QO7's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.2x
EarningsCHF 189.79m
Market CapCHF 6.11b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0QO7's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0QO7 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.8x
TATE Tate & Lyle
17.7x14.3%UK£2.7b
CWK Cranswick
21.9x8.2%UK£2.5b
ABF Associated British Foods
9.6x5.6%UK£14.0b
PFD Premier Foods
14x6.5%UK£1.5b
0QO7 Barry Callebaut
32.2x24.0%CHF 6.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0QO7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x) compared to the peer average (15.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0QO7's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0QO7 32.2xIndustry Avg. 13.8xNo. of Companies20PE01020304050+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0QO7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0QO7's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0QO7 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.2x
Fair PE Ratio25.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0QO7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0QO7 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 1,115.00
CHF 1,713.31
+53.7%
10.3%CHF 2,000.00CHF 1,410.00n/a13
Jan ’26CHF 1,204.00
CHF 1,736.00
+44.2%
8.8%CHF 2,000.00CHF 1,500.00n/a13
Dec ’25CHF 1,344.00
CHF 1,726.50
+28.5%
8.9%CHF 2,000.00CHF 1,500.00n/a12
Nov ’25CHF 1,511.00
CHF 1,744.00
+15.4%
10.2%CHF 2,000.00CHF 1,400.00n/a12
Oct ’25CHF 1,549.56
CHF 1,675.25
+8.1%
11.4%CHF 2,000.00CHF 1,400.00n/a12
Sep ’25CHF 1,372.13
CHF 1,636.64
+19.3%
12.4%CHF 2,000.00CHF 1,400.00n/a11
Aug ’25CHF 1,415.00
CHF 1,683.91
+19.0%
16.5%CHF 2,300.00CHF 1,400.00n/a11
Jul ’25CHF 1,482.00
CHF 1,663.50
+12.2%
17.8%CHF 2,300.00CHF 1,350.00n/a12
Jun ’25CHF 1,537.00
CHF 1,663.50
+8.2%
17.7%CHF 2,300.00CHF 1,350.00n/a12
May ’25CHF 1,469.50
CHF 1,671.83
+13.8%
18.1%CHF 2,300.00CHF 1,350.00n/a12
Apr ’25CHF 1,309.20
CHF 1,650.17
+26.0%
19.7%CHF 2,300.00CHF 1,180.00n/a12
Mar ’25CHF 1,255.96
CHF 1,665.17
+32.6%
19.0%CHF 2,300.00CHF 1,180.00n/a12
Feb ’25CHF 1,274.13
CHF 1,669.33
+31.0%
18.8%CHF 2,300.00CHF 1,180.00n/a12
Jan ’25CHF 1,418.99
CHF 1,881.00
+32.6%
18.7%CHF 2,800.00CHF 1,430.00CHF 1,204.0012
Dec ’24CHF 1,424.57
CHF 1,879.27
+31.9%
19.5%CHF 2,800.00CHF 1,430.00CHF 1,344.0011
Nov ’24CHF 1,443.39
CHF 1,929.64
+33.7%
18.2%CHF 2,800.00CHF 1,380.00CHF 1,511.0011
Oct ’24CHF 1,458.00
CHF 2,033.80
+39.5%
15.3%CHF 2,800.00CHF 1,670.00CHF 1,549.5610
Sep ’24CHF 1,535.97
CHF 2,154.27
+40.3%
11.8%CHF 2,800.00CHF 1,800.00CHF 1,372.1311
Aug ’24CHF 1,633.00
CHF 2,177.00
+33.3%
10.7%CHF 2,800.00CHF 1,912.00CHF 1,415.0011
Jul ’24CHF 1,727.17
CHF 2,276.67
+31.8%
9.4%CHF 2,800.00CHF 2,000.00CHF 1,482.0012
Jun ’24CHF 1,866.85
CHF 2,308.33
+23.6%
8.6%CHF 2,800.00CHF 2,075.00CHF 1,537.0012
May ’24CHF 1,886.49
CHF 2,309.58
+22.4%
8.7%CHF 2,800.00CHF 2,075.00CHF 1,469.5012
Apr ’24CHF 1,938.71
CHF 2,301.09
+18.7%
7.1%CHF 2,600.00CHF 2,097.00CHF 1,309.2011
Mar ’24CHF 1,861.00
CHF 2,285.17
+22.8%
5.8%CHF 2,500.00CHF 2,100.00CHF 1,255.9612
Feb ’24CHF 1,917.92
CHF 2,285.17
+19.1%
5.8%CHF 2,500.00CHF 2,100.00CHF 1,274.1312
Jan ’24CHF 1,833.65
CHF 2,277.08
+24.2%
6.3%CHF 2,500.00CHF 2,050.00CHF 1,418.9912
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
CHF 1.71k
Fair Value
34.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/10 04:30
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/10 00:00
Earnings2024/08/31
Annual Earnings2024/08/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Barry Callebaut AG is covered by 30 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andreas von ArxBaader Helvea Equity Research
Volker BosseBaader Helvea Equity Research
Laura Pfeifer-RossiBank am Bellevue