Lotus Bakeries Valuation

Is 0F4O undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0F4O when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0F4O (€11380) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€8806.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0F4O is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0F4O?

Key metric: As 0F4O is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0F4O. This is calculated by dividing 0F4O's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0F4O's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio64.9x
Earnings€142.18m
Market Cap€9.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0F4O's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0F4O vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.6x
ABF Associated British Foods
11x5.6%UK£16.1b
TATE Tate & Lyle
21.2x19.3%UK£3.3b
CWK Cranswick
23.1x8.8%UK£2.7b
PFD Premier Foods
15.2x6.3%UK£1.7b
0F4O Lotus Bakeries
64.9x12.4%€9.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0F4O is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (64.9x) compared to the peer average (17.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0F4O's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0F4O 64.9xIndustry Avg. 13.4xNo. of Companies18PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0F4O is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (64.9x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0F4O's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0F4O PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio64.9x
Fair PE Ratio20.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0F4O is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (64.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0F4O forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€11,380.00
€10,575.00
-7.1%
11.2%€12,200.00€9,000.00n/a6
Nov ’25€12,080.00
€10,575.00
-12.5%
11.2%€12,200.00€9,000.00n/a6
Oct ’25€12,040.00
€10,575.00
-12.2%
11.2%€12,200.00€9,000.00n/a6
Sep ’25€11,378.98
€10,041.50
-11.8%
11.3%€11,900.00€8,100.00n/a6
Aug ’25€10,080.00
€8,842.17
-12.3%
13.1%€10,500.00€7,404.00n/a6
Jul ’25€9,610.00
€8,842.17
-8.0%
13.1%€10,500.00€7,404.00n/a6
Jun ’25€9,780.00
€9,049.80
-7.5%
12.2%€10,500.00€7,500.00n/a5
May ’25€9,430.00
€9,049.80
-4.0%
12.2%€10,500.00€7,500.00n/a5
Apr ’25€8,855.89
€9,049.80
+2.2%
12.2%€10,500.00€7,500.00n/a5
Mar ’25€8,719.74
€8,687.25
-0.4%
10.6%€9,999.00€7,500.00n/a4
Feb ’25€7,949.72
€7,850.00
-1.3%
9.5%€9,000.00€7,100.00n/a4
Jan ’25€8,247.50
€7,900.00
-4.2%
8.8%€9,000.00€7,300.00n/a4
Dec ’24€8,075.71
€7,900.00
-2.2%
8.8%€9,000.00€7,300.00n/a4
Nov ’24€7,030.00
€7,900.00
+12.4%
8.8%€9,000.00€7,300.00€12,080.004
Oct ’24€7,704.55
€7,900.00
+2.5%
8.8%€9,000.00€7,300.00€12,040.004
Sep ’24€7,145.26
€7,450.00
+4.3%
4.5%€8,000.00€7,100.00€11,378.984
Aug ’24€7,302.40
€7,500.00
+2.7%
5.0%€8,000.00€7,100.00€10,080.003
Jul ’24€7,190.00
€7,050.00
-1.9%
0.7%€7,100.00€7,000.00€9,610.002
Jun ’24€5,983.20
€6,950.00
+16.2%
2.2%€7,100.00€6,800.00€9,780.002
May ’24€6,283.16
€6,950.00
+10.6%
2.2%€7,100.00€6,800.00€9,430.002
Apr ’24€6,432.67
€6,950.00
+8.0%
2.2%€7,100.00€6,800.00€8,855.892
Mar ’24€6,075.00
€6,900.00
+13.6%
1.4%€7,000.00€6,800.00€8,719.742
Feb ’24€5,965.71
€6,900.00
+15.7%
1.4%€7,000.00€6,800.00€7,949.722
Jan ’24€6,280.00
€6,383.33
+1.6%
8.0%€7,000.00€5,750.00€8,247.503
Dec ’23€6,192.00
€6,383.33
+3.1%
8.0%€7,000.00€5,750.00€8,075.713
Nov ’23€5,700.59
€6,050.00
+6.1%
4.4%€6,400.00€5,750.00€7,030.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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