Finsbury Food Group Plc

AIM:FIF Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£136.5m

Finsbury Food Group Valuation

Is FIF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FIF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FIF (£1.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FIF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FIF?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FIF key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6x
PEG Ratio1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FIF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FIF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.1x
MHPC MHP
3.8xn/aUS$431.4m
ANP Anpario
21.2xn/aUK£64.0m
HFG Hilton Food Group
17.9x10.5%UK£829.7m
BAKK Bakkavor Group
13.3x11.2%UK£853.1m
FIF Finsbury Food Group
12.7x10.0%UK£136.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FIF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x) compared to the peer average (34.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FIF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.3%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.3%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FIF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x) compared to the European Food industry average (15.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FIF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FIF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.7x
Fair PE Ratio15.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FIF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FIF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
UK£1.23
0%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Oct ’25n/a
UK£1.23
0%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Sep ’25n/a
UK£1.23
0%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Aug ’25n/a
UK£1.23
0%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Jul ’25n/a
UK£1.23
0%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Jun ’25n/a
UK£1.23
0%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
May ’25n/a
UK£1.23
0%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Apr ’25n/a
UK£1.23
0%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Mar ’25n/a
UK£1.23
0%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Feb ’25n/a
UK£1.23
0%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Jan ’25n/a
UK£1.23
0%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Dec ’24n/a
UK£1.23
0%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Nov ’24UK£1.05
UK£1.23
+17.2%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Oct ’24UK£1.10
UK£1.23
+11.9%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Sep ’24UK£0.92
UK£1.23
+33.9%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Aug ’24UK£0.94
UK£1.23
+29.6%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Jul ’24UK£0.94
UK£1.23
+31.0%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Jun ’24UK£0.92
UK£1.23
+33.2%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
May ’24UK£0.95
UK£1.23
+28.3%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Apr ’24UK£0.95
UK£1.23
+28.3%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Mar ’24UK£0.98
UK£1.23
+25.0%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Feb ’24UK£1.00
UK£1.23
+22.5%
10.2%UK£1.35UK£1.10n/a2
Jan ’24UK£0.92
UK£1.11
+20.1%
14.9%UK£1.27UK£0.94n/a2
Dec ’23UK£0.88
UK£1.11
+26.3%
14.9%UK£1.27UK£0.94n/a2
Nov ’23UK£0.91
UK£1.11
+21.4%
14.9%UK£1.27UK£0.94UK£1.052

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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