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SAVE

Savannah Energy AIM:SAVE Stock Report

Last Price

UK£0.31

Market Cap

UK£408.2m

7D

3.6%

1Y

n/a

Updated

17 Aug, 2022

Data

Company Financials +
SAVE fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth6/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health1/6
Dividends0/6

SAVE Stock Overview

Savannah Energy PLC engages in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas and crude oil.

Savannah Energy Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Savannah Energy
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUK£0.31
52 Week HighUK£0.41
52 Week LowUK£0.16
Beta0.95
1 Month Change2.46%
3 Month Change-13.56%
1 Year Changen/a
3 Year Change62.76%
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO-47.03%

Recent News & Updates

Shareholder Returns

SAVEGB Oil and GasGB Market
7D3.6%2.4%-0.2%
1Yn/a-6.2%-9.0%

Return vs Industry: Insufficient data to determine how SAVE performed against the UK Oil and Gas industry.

Return vs Market: Insufficient data to determine how SAVE performed against the UK Market.

Price Volatility

Is SAVE's price volatile compared to industry and market?
SAVE volatility
SAVE Average Weekly Movement7.2%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement8.7%
Market Average Movement5.3%
10% most volatile stocks in GB Market10.9%
10% least volatile stocks in GB Market2.7%

Stable Share Price: SAVE is not significantly more volatile than the rest of UK stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 7% a week.

Volatility Over Time: SAVE's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2014230Andrew Knotthttps://www.savannah-energy.com

Savannah Energy PLC engages in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas and crude oil. It holds license interest in Agadem Rift Basin prospective located in the south east Niger covering an area of approximately 13,655 square kilometers. The company also has an 80% interest in the Uquo field asset; 51% interest in the Stubb Creek oil and gas field; and 80% interest in the Accugas midstream assets located in south east Nigeria.

Savannah Energy Fundamentals Summary

How do Savannah Energy's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
SAVE fundamental statistics
Market CapUK£408.16m
Earnings (TTM)UK£637.59k
Revenue (TTM)UK£154.25m

649.0x

P/E Ratio

2.6x

P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
SAVE income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$185.80m
Cost of RevenueUS$65.01m
Gross ProfitUS$120.79m
Other ExpensesUS$120.02m
EarningsUS$768.00k

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2021

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)0.00058
Gross Margin65.01%
Net Profit Margin0.41%
Debt/Equity Ratio170.9%

How did SAVE perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison
We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Valuation

Is SAVE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SAVE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SAVE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.7x
PEG Ratio8.4x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SAVE's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

SAVE PS Ratio vs Peers
The above table shows the PS ratio for SAVE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11x
I3E i3 Energy
3.9x35.9%UK£337.5m
HUR Hurricane Energy
0.8x-35.2%UK£155.2m
JSE Jadestone Energy
1.5x9.4%UK£418.0m
SLE San Leon Energy
37.8x0.5%UK£180.2m
SAVE Savannah Energy
2.6x41.8%UK£408.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SAVE is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.6x) compared to the peer average (11x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SAVE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SAVE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.6x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (2x)


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SAVE's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SAVE PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.6x
Fair PS Ratio4.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SAVE is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SAVE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SAVE (£0.31) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£1.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SAVE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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Future Growth

How is Savannah Energy forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 3 analysts?

Future Growth Score

6/6

Future Growth Score 6/6

  • Earnings vs Savings Rate

  • Earnings vs Market

  • High Growth Earnings

  • Revenue vs Market

  • High Growth Revenue

  • Future ROE


77.4%

Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SAVE's forecast earnings growth (77.4% per year) is above the savings rate (0.9%).

Earnings vs Market: SAVE's earnings (77.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the UK market (9.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SAVE's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SAVE's revenue (41.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (4.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SAVE's revenue (41.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SAVE's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (26.7%)


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Past Performance

How has Savannah Energy performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

2/6

Past Performance Score 2/6

  • Quality Earnings

  • Growing Profit Margin

  • Earnings Trend

  • Accelerating Growth

  • Earnings vs Industry

  • High ROE


-4.4%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: SAVE has a large one-off loss of $7.4M impacting its December 31 2021 financial results.

Growing Profit Margin: SAVE became profitable in the past.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: SAVE has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by -4.4% per year.

Accelerating Growth: SAVE has become profitable in the last year, making the earnings growth rate difficult to compare to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: SAVE has become profitable in the last year, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Oil and Gas industry (334.7%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: SAVE's Return on Equity (5.6%) is considered low.


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Financial Health

How is Savannah Energy's financial position?

Financial Health Score

1/6

Financial Health Score 1/6

  • Short Term Liabilities

  • Long Term Liabilities

  • Debt Level

  • Reducing Debt

  • Debt Coverage

  • Interest Coverage

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: SAVE's short term assets ($388.1M) do not cover its short term liabilities ($642.5M).

Long Term Liabilities: SAVE's short term assets ($388.1M) do not cover its long term liabilities ($399.4M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: SAVE's net debt to equity ratio (121.1%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: Insufficient data to determine if SAVE's debt to equity ratio has reduced over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: SAVE's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (24.4%).

Interest Coverage: SAVE's interest payments on its debt are not well covered by EBIT (1.7x coverage).


Balance Sheet


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Dividend

What is Savannah Energy current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

0/6

Dividend Score 0/6

  • Notable Dividend

  • High Dividend

  • Stable Dividend

  • Growing Dividend

  • Earnings Coverage

  • Cash Flow Coverage


1.34%

Forecast Dividend Yield

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate SAVE's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate SAVE's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if SAVE's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if SAVE's dividend payments have been increasing.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as SAVE has not reported any payouts.


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Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

4.7yrs

Average board tenure


CEO

Andrew Knott

8.08yrs

Tenure

US$2,147,856

Compensation

Mr. Andrew Allister Knott serves as the Chief Executive Officer at Savannah Energy Plc (formerly known as Savannah Petroleum Plc) since July 03, 2014. Mr. Knott has held leading roles in the European oil a...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Andrew's total compensation ($USD2.15M) is above average for companies of similar size in the UK market ($USD1.05M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Andrew's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Board Members

Experienced Board: SAVE's board of directors are considered experienced (4.7 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 31.1%.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Savannah Energy PLC's employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Savannah Energy PLC
  • Ticker: SAVE
  • Exchange: AIM
  • Founded: 2014
  • Industry: Oil and Gas Exploration and Production
  • Sector: Energy
  • Implied Market Cap: UK£408.156m
  • Shares outstanding: 1.31b
  • Website: https://www.savannah-energy.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Savannah Energy PLC
  • 40 Bank Street
  • London
  • Greater London
  • E14 5NR
  • United Kingdom

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2022/08/17 00:00
End of Day Share Price2022/08/17 00:00
Earnings2021/12/31
Annual Earnings2021/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.