NWF Group Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of NWF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

NWF (£1.63) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (£2.51)

Is NWF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NWF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NWF (£1.63) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£2.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NWF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NWF?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for NWF. This is calculated by dividing NWF's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is NWF's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	UK£80.60m

NWF key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	6.1x
PEG Ratio	2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NWF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NWF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	9.7x
ENW Enwell Energy	3x	n/a	UK£59.9m
CASP Caspian Sunrise	10.1x	n/a	UK£81.2m
I3E i3 Energy	11.6x	51.1%	UK£145.7m
ENQ EnQuest	14x	9.0%	UK£220.4m
NWF NWF Group	8.8x	4.4%	UK£80.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NWF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the peer average (9.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NWF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	6.2%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	6.2%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NWF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (8.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NWF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NWF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	8.9x
Fair PE Ratio	7.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NWF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NWF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	UK£1.63	UK£2.67 +64.0%	6.2%	UK£2.83	UK£2.50	n/a	2
Sep ’25	UK£1.68	UK£2.67 +59.1%	6.2%	UK£2.83	UK£2.50	n/a	2
Aug ’25	UK£1.73	UK£2.67 +54.5%	6.2%	UK£2.83	UK£2.50	n/a	2
Jul ’25	UK£1.78	UK£2.67 +50.1%	6.2%	UK£2.83	UK£2.50	n/a	2
Jun ’25	UK£1.91	UK£2.79 +46.5%	1.4%	UK£2.83	UK£2.75	n/a	2
May ’25	UK£2.15	UK£2.79 +29.8%	1.4%	UK£2.83	UK£2.75	n/a	2
Apr ’25	UK£2.06	UK£2.79 +35.4%	1.4%	UK£2.83	UK£2.75	n/a	2
Mar ’25	UK£1.80	UK£2.79 +55.0%	1.4%	UK£2.83	UK£2.75	n/a	2
Feb ’25	UK£2.00	UK£2.79 +39.5%	1.4%	UK£2.83	UK£2.75	n/a	2
Jan ’25	UK£2.23	UK£2.79 +25.4%	1.4%	UK£2.83	UK£2.75	n/a	2
Dec ’24	UK£2.10	UK£2.79 +32.9%	1.4%	UK£2.83	UK£2.75	n/a	2
Nov ’24	UK£1.95	UK£2.79 +43.1%	1.4%	UK£2.83	UK£2.75	n/a	2
Oct ’24	UK£2.21	UK£2.79 +26.2%	1.4%	UK£2.83	UK£2.75	n/a	2
Sep ’24	UK£2.20	UK£2.79 +26.8%	1.4%	UK£2.83	UK£2.75	UK£1.68	2
Aug ’24	UK£2.65	UK£2.79 +5.3%	1.4%	UK£2.83	UK£2.75	UK£1.73	2
Jul ’24	UK£2.73	UK£2.79 +2.4%	1.4%	UK£2.83	UK£2.75	UK£1.78	2
Jun ’24	UK£2.60	UK£2.79 +7.5%	1.4%	UK£2.83	UK£2.75	UK£1.91	2
May ’24	UK£2.61	UK£2.79 +7.1%	1.4%	UK£2.83	UK£2.75	UK£2.15	2
Apr ’24	UK£2.45	UK£2.79 +13.9%	1.4%	UK£2.83	UK£2.75	UK£2.06	2
Mar ’24	UK£2.52	UK£2.68 +6.3%	5.6%	UK£2.83	UK£2.53	UK£1.80	2
Feb ’24	UK£2.28	UK£2.68 +17.5%	5.6%	UK£2.83	UK£2.53	UK£2.00	2
Jan ’24	UK£2.51	UK£2.68 +6.8%	5.6%	UK£2.83	UK£2.53	UK£2.23	2
Dec ’23	UK£2.72	UK£2.43 -10.8%	1.0%	UK£2.45	UK£2.40	UK£2.10	2
Nov ’23	UK£2.86	UK£2.43 -15.2%	1.0%	UK£2.45	UK£2.40	UK£1.95	2
Oct ’23	UK£2.46	UK£2.43 -1.4%	1.0%	UK£2.45	UK£2.40	UK£2.21	2
Sep ’23	UK£2.37	UK£2.43 +2.3%	1.0%	UK£2.45	UK£2.40	UK£2.20	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.