Stock Analysis

Positive Sentiment Still Eludes Jadestone Energy plc (LON:JSE) Following 29% Share Price Slump

AIM:JSE
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Jadestone Energy plc (LON:JSE) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 69% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Jadestone Energy's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Oil and Gas industry in the United Kingdom, where the median P/S ratio is around 1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Jadestone Energy

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:JSE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 26th 2024

How Jadestone Energy Has Been Performing

Jadestone Energy hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Jadestone Energy will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Jadestone Energy's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 34%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to remain buoyant, climbing by 54% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to contract by 0.9%, which would indicate the company is doing very well.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Jadestone Energy's P/S trades in-line with its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the contrarian forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Jadestone Energy's P/S

Jadestone Energy's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Jadestone Energy currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its growth forecasts are potentially beating a struggling industry. We assume that investors are attributing some risk to the company's future revenues, keeping it from trading at a higher P/S. One such risk is that the company may not live up to analysts' revenue trajectories in tough industry conditions. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Jadestone Energy that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Jadestone Energy, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Jadestone Energy is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.