Stock Analysis

Is Chariot Oil & Gas (LON:CHAR) In A Good Position To Invest In Growth?

AIM:CHAR
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, Chariot Oil & Gas (LON:CHAR) shareholders have done very well over the last year, with the share price soaring by 157%. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

Given its strong share price performance, we think it's worthwhile for Chariot Oil & Gas shareholders to consider whether its cash burn is concerning. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

See our latest analysis for Chariot Oil & Gas

Does Chariot Oil & Gas Have A Long Cash Runway?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. As at June 2020, Chariot Oil & Gas had cash of US$5.8m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$6.2m. So it had a cash runway of approximately 11 months from June 2020. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. Importantly, if we extrapolate recent cash burn trends, the cash runway would be noticeably longer. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:CHAR Debt to Equity History December 29th 2020

How Is Chariot Oil & Gas' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Chariot Oil & Gas didn't record any revenue over the last year, indicating that it's an early stage company still developing its business. So while we can't look to sales to understand growth, we can look at how the cash burn is changing to understand how expenditure is trending over time. We'd venture that the 62% reduction in cash burn over the last year shows that management are, at least, mindful of its ongoing need for cash. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

Can Chariot Oil & Gas Raise More Cash Easily?

While we're comforted by the recent reduction evident from our analysis of Chariot Oil & Gas' cash burn, it is still worth considering how easily the company could raise more funds, if it wanted to accelerate spending to drive growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Chariot Oil & Gas has a market capitalisation of US$44m and burnt through US$6.2m last year, which is 14% of the company's market value. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.

Is Chariot Oil & Gas' Cash Burn A Worry?

Even though its cash runway makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Chariot Oil & Gas' cash burn reduction was relatively promising. We don't think its cash burn is particularly problematic, but after considering the range of factors in this article, we do think shareholders should be monitoring how it changes over time. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 5 warning signs for Chariot Oil & Gas that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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