Arrow Exploration Valuation

Is AXL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AXL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AXL (£0.24) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£0.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AXL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AXL?

Key metric: As AXL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AXL. This is calculated by dividing AXL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AXL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio77.1x
EarningsUS$1.09m
Market CapUS$83.67m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AXL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AXL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.6x
CASP Caspian Sunrise
15.7xn/aUK£69.9m
AET Afentra
5.5x8.1%UK£101.8m
ANGS Angus Energy
1.7xn/aUK£14.4m
ENW Enwell Energy
3.4xn/aUK£70.5m
AXL Arrow Exploration
77.1xn/aUK£117.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AXL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (77.1x) compared to the peer average (6.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AXL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ROSN Rosneft Oil
1.5xn/aUS$21.03b
INDI Indus Gas
0.9xn/aUS$17.76m
No more companies available in this PE range
AXL 77.1xIndustry Avg. 9.1xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AXL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (77.1x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (9.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AXL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AXL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio77.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AXL's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


Discover undervalued companies