Liontrust Asset Management PLC

LSE:LIO Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£433.8m

Liontrust Asset Management Valuation

Is LIO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LIO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LIO (£6.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£12.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LIO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LIO?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LIO key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.8x
PEG Ratio0.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LIO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LIO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.9x
MTW Mattioli Woods
41.5x26.7%UK£411.8m
POLN Pollen Street Group
10.7x8.0%UK£434.0m
TAM Tatton Asset Management
25.9x10.9%UK£348.0m
XPS XPS Pensions Group
33.4x26.2%UK£515.1m
LIO Liontrust Asset Management
25.2x48.8%UK£433.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LIO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x) compared to the peer average (24.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LIO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LIO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x) compared to the UK Capital Markets industry average (15x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LIO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LIO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.2x
Fair PE Ratio30.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LIO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LIO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£6.80
UK£8.09
+18.9%
16.9%UK£10.50UK£6.00n/a8
Apr ’25UK£6.72
UK£8.38
+24.6%
17.8%UK£10.50UK£6.00n/a8
Mar ’25UK£6.45
UK£8.38
+29.8%
17.8%UK£10.50UK£6.00n/a8
Feb ’25UK£6.17
UK£8.38
+35.7%
17.8%UK£10.50UK£6.00n/a8
Jan ’25UK£6.30
UK£8.50
+34.9%
22.0%UK£11.00UK£5.50n/a7
Dec ’24UK£5.34
UK£8.50
+59.3%
22.0%UK£11.00UK£5.50n/a7
Nov ’24UK£5.31
UK£8.67
+63.4%
23.7%UK£11.00UK£5.10n/a6
Oct ’24UK£6.07
UK£9.77
+60.9%
28.3%UK£15.10UK£7.10n/a6
Sep ’24UK£6.53
UK£9.77
+49.6%
28.3%UK£15.10UK£7.10n/a6
Aug ’24UK£6.38
UK£12.84
+101.3%
42.7%UK£22.50UK£7.10n/a5
Jul ’24UK£7.16
UK£12.04
+68.1%
44.5%UK£22.50UK£7.21n/a6
Jun ’24UK£7.88
UK£12.28
+55.9%
42.9%UK£22.50UK£7.05n/a6
May ’24UK£8.60
UK£12.58
+46.2%
39.9%UK£22.50UK£7.70n/a6
Apr ’24UK£10.22
UK£14.32
+40.2%
32.4%UK£22.50UK£10.22UK£6.725
Mar ’24UK£11.74
UK£14.14
+20.4%
30.2%UK£22.50UK£10.22UK£6.456
Feb ’24UK£11.84
UK£14.11
+19.2%
30.3%UK£22.50UK£10.22UK£6.176
Jan ’24UK£11.20
UK£13.84
+23.5%
31.7%UK£22.50UK£10.21UK£6.306
Dec ’23UK£11.30
UK£13.79
+22.0%
32.1%UK£22.50UK£9.92UK£5.346
Nov ’23UK£9.14
UK£13.56
+48.4%
37.9%UK£22.50UK£8.40UK£5.315
Oct ’23UK£7.31
UK£15.11
+106.8%
30.1%UK£22.50UK£10.00UK£6.075
Sep ’23UK£8.33
UK£15.11
+81.4%
30.1%UK£22.50UK£10.00UK£6.535
Aug ’23UK£10.24
UK£15.11
+47.6%
30.1%UK£22.50UK£10.00UK£6.385
Jul ’23UK£8.95
UK£15.31
+71.1%
30.5%UK£22.50UK£10.00UK£7.165
Jun ’23UK£10.70
UK£18.34
+71.4%
20.1%UK£22.50UK£11.50UK£7.885
May ’23UK£11.70
UK£19.05
+62.8%
13.5%UK£22.50UK£14.00UK£8.606
Apr ’23UK£13.08
UK£20.85
+59.4%
19.5%UK£26.00UK£14.00UK£10.226

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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