abrdn Valuation

Is ABDN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ABDN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ABDN (£1.38) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£1.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ABDN is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ABDN?

Key metric: As ABDN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ABDN. This is calculated by dividing ABDN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ABDN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.8x
EarningsUK£317.00m
Market CapUK£2.47b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ABDN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ABDN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.3x
PHLL Petershill Partners
9.5x38.3%UK£2.6b
EMG Man Group
9.7x15.0%UK£2.4b
BPT Bridgepoint Group
41.3x33.2%UK£2.7b
N91 Ninety One Group
8.9x2.0%UK£1.5b
ABDN abrdn
7.8x-20.9%UK£2.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ABDN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the peer average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ABDN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Capital Markets Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CBA CEIBA Investments
2.8xn/aUS$42.52m
PNIX Phoenix Digital Assets
1.1xn/aUS$32.25m
IX. i(x) Net Zero
0.1xn/aUS$8.94m
APQ APQ Global
0.4xn/aUS$5.78m
ABDN 7.8xIndustry Avg. 12.7xNo. of Companies15PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ABDN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the UK Capital Markets industry average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ABDN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ABDN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.8x
Fair PE Ratio11.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ABDN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ABDN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£1.38
UK£1.59
+14.7%
17.0%UK£2.40UK£1.30n/a14
Nov ’25UK£1.32
UK£1.59
+20.0%
17.0%UK£2.40UK£1.30n/a14
Oct ’25UK£1.59
UK£1.63
+2.9%
15.7%UK£2.40UK£1.42n/a14
Sep ’25UK£1.50
UK£1.63
+8.8%
15.7%UK£2.40UK£1.42n/a14
Aug ’25UK£1.71
UK£1.61
-5.6%
16.4%UK£2.40UK£1.40n/a14
Jul ’25UK£1.49
UK£1.59
+6.4%
17.4%UK£2.40UK£1.37n/a14
Jun ’25UK£1.55
UK£1.60
+3.4%
17.3%UK£2.40UK£1.37n/a14
May ’25UK£1.46
UK£1.60
+9.6%
17.8%UK£2.40UK£1.30n/a14
Apr ’25UK£1.41
UK£1.66
+17.4%
16.3%UK£2.35UK£1.35n/a14
Mar ’25UK£1.55
UK£1.70
+9.1%
15.3%UK£2.35UK£1.42n/a14
Feb ’25UK£1.68
UK£1.74
+3.8%
13.1%UK£2.35UK£1.40n/a14
Jan ’25UK£1.79
UK£1.70
-4.6%
16.0%UK£2.50UK£1.40n/a14
Dec ’24UK£1.64
UK£1.70
+3.3%
16.3%UK£2.50UK£1.40n/a14
Nov ’24UK£1.56
UK£1.71
+9.6%
15.6%UK£2.50UK£1.40UK£1.3214
Oct ’24UK£1.56
UK£1.83
+17.4%
17.1%UK£2.72UK£1.40UK£1.5915
Sep ’24UK£1.65
UK£1.84
+11.4%
16.6%UK£2.72UK£1.40UK£1.5016
Aug ’24UK£2.28
UK£2.01
-11.8%
13.7%UK£2.76UK£1.55UK£1.7115
Jul ’24UK£2.18
UK£1.97
-9.8%
13.2%UK£2.61UK£1.45UK£1.4915
Jun ’24UK£1.99
UK£1.97
-0.7%
13.5%UK£2.61UK£1.45UK£1.5515
May ’24UK£2.13
UK£1.97
-7.3%
13.5%UK£2.61UK£1.45UK£1.4615
Apr ’24UK£2.04
UK£2.01
-1.3%
18.2%UK£2.80UK£1.30UK£1.4115
Mar ’24UK£2.32
UK£1.93
-16.7%
22.1%UK£2.86UK£1.30UK£1.5514
Feb ’24UK£2.08
UK£1.90
-8.9%
21.4%UK£2.86UK£1.30UK£1.6814
Jan ’24UK£1.89
UK£1.95
+2.9%
25.9%UK£3.25UK£1.30UK£1.7914
Dec ’23UK£2.00
UK£1.92
-4.0%
27.3%UK£3.25UK£1.30UK£1.6414
Nov ’23UK£1.63
UK£1.78
+9.2%
28.8%UK£2.89UK£1.30UK£1.5614

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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