Aberdeen Group Plc

LSE:ABDN Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£4.4b

Aberdeen Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Aberdeen Group's earnings are forecast to decline at 15.2% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 1.3% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 20.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 5.9% in 3 years.

Key information

-15.2%

Earnings growth rate

-20.12%

EPS growth rate

Capital Markets earnings growth12.1%
Revenue growth rate1.3%
Future return on equity5.91%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated29 Jul 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Jul 27

ABDN: Higher Earnings Power Expectations Will Support Future Cash Generation Repricing

The analyst price target for Aberdeen has been revised higher from £2.65 to £2.80, with analysts pointing to adjustments in fair value estimates, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins and future P/E expectations as key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Aberdeen Group points to a cluster of higher price targets and rating upgrades, suggesting that several bullish analysts see scope for the stock to better reflect their fair value assessments and revenue and margin assumptions.
Narrative Update • Jul 13

ABDN: Future Returns Will Hinge On Margin Delivery And Mixed Broker Views

The analyst price target for Aberdeen Group has been raised by £0.15 to £2.80, with analysts pointing to updated expectations for revenue, margins and a slightly adjusted discount rate in their revised outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Aberdeen Group points to a generally constructive stance, with several firms revising price targets higher and a smaller number trimming expectations.
Narrative Update • Jun 29

ABDN: Future Returns Will Depend On Margin Delivery As Broker Views Diverge

The Analyst Price Target for Aberdeen Group has been raised to £2.24 from £2.15, reflecting analysts' updated views after a series of recent price target increases and upgrades across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Aberdeen Group presents a mix of optimism and caution, with several high profile banks adjusting price targets and ratings in quick succession.
Narrative Update • Jun 15

ABDN: Rich P E And Execution Risks Will Limit Upside Potential

The analyst price target for Aberdeen Group has been raised by £0.30 per share, supported by recent Street research that highlights higher targets from several banks and upgraded views on the stock's potential compared with consensus expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Aberdeen Group shows a mix of higher targets and cautious revisions, which gives you a more balanced picture of how analysts are thinking about the stock's risk and reward profile.
Analysis Article • Jun 02

Should You Be Adding Aberdeen Group (LON:ABDN) To Your Watchlist Today?

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Narrative Update • Jun 01

ABDN: Mixed Broker Revisions And Margin Assumptions Will Pressure Upside Potential

The analyst fair value estimate for Aberdeen Group has edged up from £1.84 to £1.86 per share. This reflects recent price target increases from several banks, expectations for a slightly higher profit margin, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update • May 16

ABDN: Higher Earnings Power Expectations Will Support Future Cash Generation

The analyst price target for Aberdeen Group is now set at £2.65 per share, up from £2.62, as analysts cite potential upside to consensus estimates. This is reflected in a modestly higher fair value and revised future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update • Apr 30

ABDN: Higher Margins And Mixed Street Views Will Support Future Cash Generation

Narrative Update on Aberdeen Group The analyst price target for Aberdeen Group has been adjusted in line with marginally lower fair value and discount rate assumptions, with recent Street research showing mixed target moves in £ terms, as analysts weigh softer revenue growth expectations against higher profit margin forecasts and a reduced future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Aberdeen Group shows a split tape on price targets, with several bullish analysts lifting their numbers in close succession while others trim targets on more cautious assumptions.
Narrative Update • Apr 16

ABDN: Future Returns Will Hinge On Margins As Broker Views Converge

The analyst price target on Aberdeen Group has been trimmed by £0.03 as analysts factor in slightly lower revenue growth expectations, a modestly higher discount rate, and a marginally lower future P/E, partly offset by a firmer profit margin outlook and recent mixed target revisions from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Aberdeen Group shows a mix of higher and lower price targets, which gives you a useful snapshot of how different analysts are weighing execution risks against potential upside in margins and cash generation.
Narrative Update • Apr 02

ABDN: Future Returns Will Depend On Margins As Broker Views Edge Closer

Aberdeen Group's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly lower to reflect a modest reduction in fair value to £2.18, with analysts attributing this to updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent street research around Aberdeen Group shows a mix of optimism and caution as analysts adjust their price targets in relatively small steps, reflecting a focus on fine tuning expectations rather than wholesale changes in view.
Narrative Update • Mar 18

ABDN: Higher Long Term P/E Assumptions Are Expected To Support Stronger Cash Generation

Narrative Update on Aberdeen Group The analyst price target for Aberdeen Group has been raised by £0.27. Analysts attribute this change to a slightly higher fair value, a small adjustment in the discount rate and long term P/E assumptions, and support from a series of recent target increases from major banks.
Narrative Update • Mar 04

ABDN: Recent Board And Earnings Assumptions Are Expected To Support Stronger Cash Generation

The analyst price target for Aberdeen Group has edged higher from £2.55 to £2.60, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions for growth, profitability and P/E, along with a series of recent target lifts from major banks as support for the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a cluster of target lifts for Aberdeen Group, with bullish analysts edging price targets higher in quick succession.
Narrative Update • Feb 18

ABDN: Lower Forward P/E And Cautious Margin Assumptions Will Pressure Upside Potential

Aberdeen Group's analyst price target has been raised to £1.84 from £1.75, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions around discount rates, profit margins and future P/E expectations, as well as a series of recent target increases from major banks, as key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Aberdeen Group shows a cluster of price target revisions, with several banks fine tuning their expectations in a relatively tight range.
Narrative Update • Feb 04

ABDN: Future Returns Will Rely On Margins As Broker Views Converge Modestly

The analyst price target for Aberdeen Group edges higher to reflect a fair value estimate of £2.21 per share, with recent target increases from several firms broadly tied to slightly higher profit margin assumptions and a lower discount rate, even as revenue growth expectations and future P/E inputs are adjusted. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a cluster of upward price target revisions on Aberdeen Group, with several firms adjusting their targets in small increments and one larger move within the past few months.
Narrative Update • Jan 21

ABDN: Higher Street Assumptions Are Expected To Support Stronger Medium-Term Cash Generation

Narrative Update on Aberdeen Group The updated analyst price target for Aberdeen Group moves modestly higher, with the revised fair value of £2.55 supported by Street research that has gradually raised price targets. This includes recent increases at major banks citing adjusted discount rates, slightly higher revenue growth assumptions, a lower profit margin outlook, and a higher future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update • Jan 07

ABDN: Future P/E Compression Will Test Elevated Market Expectations

We are raising our Aberdeen Group fair value estimate to £1.75 from £1.65, reflecting analysts' higher price targets in the £2.07 to £2.34 range and updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and a lower future P/E profile. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Aberdeen Group clusters in a relatively tight price target range between 207 GBp and 234 GBp, which informs our revised fair value estimate of £1.75.
Narrative Update • Dec 23

ABDN: Rising Earnings Quality Will Support Stronger Medium-Term Cash Generation

The analyst fair value estimate for Aberdeen Group has been raised modestly from £2.40 to £2.49 per share. This reflects analysts' more optimistic assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins in the wake of a series of incremental price target increases across the Street.
Narrative Update • Dec 09

ABDN: Future Returns Will Depend On Profitability Amid Mixed Broker Conviction

The Analyst Price Target for Aberdeen Group has been raised from 200 GBp to 245 GBp, reflecting analysts' expectations for slightly stronger revenue growth and improving profit margins despite a modest uptick in the assumed discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a steady progression of target price increases for Aberdeen Group, but with a notable dispersion in conviction levels.
Narrative Update • Nov 24

ABDN: Future Direction Will Be Shaped By Profitability And Business Restructuring

The analyst price target for Aberdeen Group has been modestly raised, with recent adjustments reflecting an increase of several pence per share. Analysts cite steady improvements in revenue growth, profit margin, and discount rate trends to support their updated outlook.
Narrative Update • Nov 07

ABDN: Future Performance Will Be Shaped By Margin Gains And Restructuring Steps

The analyst price target for Aberdeen Group has been raised from £2.06 to £2.08, as analysts cite improved profit margins and steady revenue growth in their rationale for the update. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from leading analysts highlight mixed sentiment regarding Aberdeen Group's valuation and outlook.
Narrative Update • Oct 24

Digital And Regulatory Headwinds Will Challenge Business Model Resilience Going Forward

The analyst price target for Aberdeen Group has been raised, with recent updates moving targets up by between £0.05 and £0.09 per share. Analysts cite improved fair value estimates and upgraded revenue growth forecasts in their rationale.
Narrative Update • Oct 10

Digital And Regulatory Trends Will Squeeze Legacy Manager Margins

The analyst price target for Aberdeen Group has been raised, with an increase from £1.98 to £2.01 per share. Analysts cite improved profit margins and steady market conditions as key factors for the upward revision.
Narrative Update • Aug 27

Digital And Regulatory Trends Will Squeeze Legacy Manager Margins

Analysts have modestly raised Aberdeen Group’s price target from £1.94 to £1.98, primarily due to improved market sentiment and stronger recent operational performance, although some remain cautious about valuation and long-term prospects after the share price's rapid appreciation. Analyst Commentary Price targets were broadly increased to reflect Aberdeen's recent share price rally and improved market sentiment.
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New Narrative • Mar 09

UK Investment Firm Will Face Shrinking Margins Amid Market Challenges

Simplifying the business and focusing on competitive advantages may not sustain revenue if market dynamics shift or competitors innovate faster.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:ABDN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (GBP Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20281,39524745633310
12/31/20271,35124244132012
12/31/20261,313226N/A2824
12/31/20251,341388556427N/A
9/30/20251,336354483356N/A
6/30/20251,330319409284N/A
3/31/20251,350278295249N/A
12/31/20241,370237181213N/A
9/30/20241,389277239264N/A
6/30/20241,408317297314N/A
3/31/20241,441159240268N/A
12/31/20231,4741182221N/A
9/30/20231,522-203139176N/A
6/30/20231,570-40795131N/A
3/31/20231,554-48296121N/A
12/31/20221,538-55897110N/A
9/30/20221,55116142154N/A
6/30/20221,563590186198N/A
3/31/20221,62479266106N/A
12/31/20211,685994-5414N/A
6/30/20211,0281,459-204-124N/A
3/31/20211,2781,154-86-34N/A
12/31/20201,5278483156N/A
6/30/20203,527-935245269N/A
3/31/20203,690-362202235N/A
12/31/20193,853210158201N/A
9/30/20193,289-50N/A-356N/A
6/30/20192,725-310N/A-913N/A
3/31/20192,428-572N/A-331N/A
12/31/20182,131-835N/A250N/A
9/30/20182,363-203N/A1,126N/A
6/30/20182,594429N/A2,002N/A
3/31/20182,380416N/A2,098N/A
12/31/20172,165402N/A2,194N/A
9/30/20176,925314N/A1,628N/A
6/30/201711,685226N/A1,061N/A
3/31/201715,207297N/A899N/A
12/31/201618,729368N/A736N/A
9/30/201614,826401N/A112N/A
6/30/201610,923433N/A-512N/A
3/31/20169,908355N/A-1,388N/A
12/31/20158,892276N/A-2,264N/A
9/30/201512,495263N/A-1,276N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ABDN's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-15.2% per year).

Earnings vs Market: ABDN's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ABDN's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ABDN's revenue (1.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the UK market (4.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ABDN's revenue (1.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ABDN's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/29 17:52
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/29 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Aberdeen Group Plc is covered by 33 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andrew BroadfieldBarclays
Michael SandersonBarclays
Andrew LoweBerenberg