Corporación Financiera Alba Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 0HA8 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

0HA8 (€46.75) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (€59.19)

Is 0HA8 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0HA8 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0HA8 (€46.75) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€59.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0HA8 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0HA8?

Key metric: As 0HA8 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0HA8. This is calculated by dividing 0HA8's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0HA8's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	15.8x
Earnings	€178.90m
Market Cap	€2.82b

0HA8 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	19.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	31.5x
PEG Ratio	0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0HA8's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0HA8 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	7.1x
OSB OSB Group	3.6x	-3.8%	UK£1.4b
PAG Paragon Banking Group	7.4x	0.2%	UK£1.5b
EMG Man Group	9.6x	15.0%	UK£2.4b
ABDN abrdn	7.7x	-20.9%	UK£2.5b
0HA8 Corporación Financiera Alba	15.8x	18.5%	€2.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0HA8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x) compared to the peer average (7.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0HA8's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Diversified Financial Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
NBS Nationwide Building Society	0.9x	n/a	US$1.51b

No more companies available in this PE range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0HA8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x) compared to the UK Diversified Financial industry average (13.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0HA8's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0HA8 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	15.8x
Fair PE Ratio	18.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0HA8 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0HA8 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	€46.75	€73.50 +57.2%	7.5%	€79.00	€68.00	n/a	2
Nov ’25	€48.90	€73.50 +50.3%	7.5%	€79.00	€68.00	n/a	2
Oct ’25	€51.85	€73.50 +41.8%	7.5%	€79.00	€68.00	n/a	2
Sep ’24	€48.15	€72.65 +50.9%	3.9%	€75.50	€69.80	€51.00	2
Aug ’24	€48.45	€72.65 +49.9%	3.9%	€75.50	€69.80	€49.70	2
Jul ’24	€48.70	€70.05 +43.8%	0.4%	€70.30	€69.80	€51.10	2
Jun ’24	€46.00	€71.35 +55.1%	2.2%	€72.90	€69.80	€51.50	2
May ’24	€46.10	€68.67 +49.0%	5.8%	€72.90	€63.30	€47.65	3
Apr ’24	€46.00	€68.67 +49.3%	5.8%	€72.90	€63.30	€47.92	3
Mar ’24	€45.40	€68.67 +51.2%	5.8%	€72.90	€63.30	€48.10	3
Feb ’24	€44.44	€67.03 +50.9%	4.0%	€69.40	€63.30	€48.68	3
Jan ’24	€43.13	€67.03 +55.4%	4.0%	€69.40	€63.30	€47.60	3
Dec ’23	€45.60	€67.03 +47.0%	4.0%	€69.40	€63.30	€49.80	3
Nov ’23	€45.05	€67.43 +49.7%	4.3%	€69.60	€63.30	€48.05	3

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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