TP ICAP Group PLC

BATS-CHIXE:TCAPL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£2.0b

TP ICAP Group Valuation

Is TCAPL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TCAPL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TCAPL (£2.61) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£2.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TCAPL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TCAPL?

Key metric: As TCAPL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TCAPL. This is calculated by dividing TCAPL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TCAPL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.8x
EarningsUK£99.00m
Market CapUK£1.96b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TCAPL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TCAPL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13x
PLUS Plus500
8.5x-0.09%UK£1.8b
AJB AJ Bell
23.8x8.1%UK£1.9b
IGG IG Group Holdings
10.9x6.0%UK£3.4b
CMCX CMC Markets
8.8x-5.0%UK£744.7m
TCAPL TP ICAP Group
19.8x21.5%UK£2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TCAPL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the peer average (13x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TCAPL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Capital Markets Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PNIX Phoenix Digital Assets
1.2xn/aUS$35.25m
IX. i(x) Net Zero
0.1xn/aUS$8.94m
APQ APQ Global
0.4xn/aUS$5.78m
MAFL Mineral & Financial Investments
1.9xn/aUS$4.82m
No more companies available in this PE range
No. of Companies18PE01020304050+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TCAPL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the UK Capital Markets industry average (12.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TCAPL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TCAPL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.8x
Fair PE Ratio19.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TCAPL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TCAPL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£2.61
UK£2.90
+11.2%
9.9%UK£3.26UK£2.35n/a6
Nov ’25UK£2.25
UK£2.87
+27.6%
9.5%UK£3.26UK£2.35n/a6
Oct ’25UK£2.36
UK£2.87
+21.5%
9.5%UK£3.26UK£2.35n/a6
Sep ’25UK£2.44
UK£2.86
+17.1%
10.5%UK£3.26UK£2.27n/a6
Aug ’25UK£2.23
UK£2.79
+25.2%
9.6%UK£3.26UK£2.27n/a7
Jul ’25UK£2.00
UK£2.77
+38.5%
9.4%UK£3.26UK£2.25n/a8
Jun ’25UK£2.21
UK£2.77
+25.7%
9.3%UK£3.26UK£2.26n/a8
May ’25UK£2.10
UK£2.68
+27.8%
7.0%UK£2.90UK£2.26n/a8
Apr ’25UK£2.26
UK£2.59
+14.5%
7.8%UK£2.80UK£2.26n/a8
Mar ’25UK£1.81
UK£2.32
+28.2%
10.0%UK£2.59UK£2.00n/a7
Feb ’25UK£1.86
UK£2.35
+26.4%
10.7%UK£2.60UK£2.00n/a7
Jan ’25UK£1.95
UK£2.35
+20.3%
10.7%UK£2.60UK£2.00n/a7
Dec ’24UK£1.89
UK£2.34
+23.8%
10.4%UK£2.60UK£2.00n/a7
Nov ’24UK£1.64
UK£2.37
+44.1%
9.8%UK£2.60UK£2.00UK£2.256
Oct ’24UK£1.71
UK£2.37
+38.0%
9.8%UK£2.60UK£2.00UK£2.366
Sep ’24UK£1.65
UK£2.37
+43.3%
9.8%UK£2.60UK£2.00UK£2.446
Aug ’24UK£1.59
UK£2.36
+48.5%
9.8%UK£2.60UK£2.00UK£2.236
Jul ’24UK£1.52
UK£2.35
+54.5%
8.8%UK£2.60UK£2.00UK£2.006
Jun ’24UK£1.54
UK£2.35
+52.8%
8.8%UK£2.60UK£2.00UK£2.216
May ’24UK£1.71
UK£2.35
+37.8%
8.8%UK£2.60UK£2.00UK£2.106
Apr ’24UK£1.81
UK£2.35
+30.0%
8.8%UK£2.60UK£2.00UK£2.266
Mar ’24UK£1.95
UK£2.26
+15.7%
11.5%UK£2.56UK£1.80UK£1.816
Feb ’24UK£1.78
UK£2.26
+27.4%
11.5%UK£2.56UK£1.80UK£1.866
Jan ’24UK£1.74
UK£2.26
+30.2%
11.5%UK£2.56UK£1.80UK£1.956
Dec ’23UK£1.79
UK£2.26
+26.1%
11.5%UK£2.56UK£1.80UK£1.896
Nov ’23UK£1.78
UK£2.26
+26.9%
11.5%UK£2.56UK£1.80UK£1.646

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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