Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Mitchells & Butlers (LON:MAB) Is Using Debt Extensively

LSE:MAB
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Mitchells & Butlers plc (LON:MAB) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Mitchells & Butlers

What Is Mitchells & Butlers's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Mitchells & Butlers had debt of UK£1.64b at the end of April 2022, a reduction from UK£1.88b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of UK£223.0m, its net debt is less, at about UK£1.42b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:MAB Debt to Equity History August 5th 2022

How Healthy Is Mitchells & Butlers' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Mitchells & Butlers had liabilities of UK£616.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of UK£2.35b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had UK£223.0m in cash and UK£60.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling UK£2.68b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the UK£1.09b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Mitchells & Butlers would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 0.65 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.4 hit our confidence in Mitchells & Butlers like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. One redeeming factor for Mitchells & Butlers is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of UK£75m, over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Mitchells & Butlers can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Mitchells & Butlers actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

On the face of it, Mitchells & Butlers's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Mitchells & Butlers to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Mitchells & Butlers (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.