Stock Analysis

Market Cool On Malvern International Plc's (LON:MLVN) Revenues

AIM:MLVN
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Malvern International Plc's (LON:MLVN) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x may look like a pretty appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Consumer Services industry in the United Kingdom have P/S ratios greater than 1.8x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Malvern International

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:MLVN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 13th 2024

What Does Malvern International's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Malvern International has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Malvern International will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Malvern International's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Malvern International's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 174% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 119% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to shrink 3.0% in the next 12 months, the company's positive momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a bright spot for the moment.

In light of this, it's quite peculiar that Malvern International's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Malvern International's P/S

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Upon analysing the past data, we see it is unexpected that Malvern International is currently trading at a lower P/S than the rest of the industry given that its revenue growth in the past three-year years is exceeding expectations in a challenging industry. One assumption would be that there are some underlying risks to revenue that are keeping the P/S from rising to match the its strong performance. Amidst challenging industry conditions, perhaps a key concern is whether the company can sustain its superior revenue growth trajectory. While the chance of the share price dropping sharply is fairly remote, investors do seem to be anticipating future revenue instability.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Malvern International that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Malvern International is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.