Stock Analysis

Cautious Investors Not Rewarding Malvern International Plc's (LON:MLVN) Performance Completely

AIM:MLVN
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Malvern International Plc's (LON:MLVN) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x may look like a pretty appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Consumer Services industry in the United Kingdom have P/S ratios greater than 1.7x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Malvern International

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:MLVN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 14th 2023

What Does Malvern International's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Malvern International has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Malvern International will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Malvern International's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Malvern International's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 174% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 119% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 0.2% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that Malvern International is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What Does Malvern International's P/S Mean For Investors?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We're very surprised to see Malvern International currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. Potential investors that are sceptical over continued revenue performance may be preventing the P/S ratio from matching previous strong performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Malvern International (2 are significant!) that you need to be mindful of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About AIM:MLVN

Malvern International

Provides educational services in the United Kingdom.

Slightly overvalued with imperfect balance sheet.

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