Stock Analysis

Positive Sentiment Still Eludes Vistry Group PLC (LON:VTY) Following 26% Share Price Slump

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LSE:VTY

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Vistry Group PLC (LON:VTY) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 9.9% over that longer period.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given about half the companies in the United Kingdom have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may still consider Vistry Group as an attractive investment with its 9.3x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Vistry Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Vistry Group

LSE:VTY Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 15th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Vistry Group.

How Is Vistry Group's Growth Trending?

Vistry Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 10% last year. Still, lamentably EPS has fallen 19% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 17% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 13% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it odd that Vistry Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Vistry Group's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Vistry Group currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Vistry Group that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Vistry Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.