Swatch Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Swatch Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13% and 2.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 1.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 4.3% in 3 years.

Key information

13.0%

Earnings growth rate

1.4%

EPS growth rate

Luxury earnings growth	10.3%
Revenue growth rate	2.8%
Future return on equity	4.3%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	18 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:0QM4 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CHF Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	7,525	671	533	845	18
12/31/2025	7,246	608	515	896	21
12/31/2024	7,060	444	893	1,158	22
6/30/2024	7,314	519	-259	424	N/A
3/31/2024	7,601	694	-214	520	N/A
12/31/2023	7,888	869	-169	615	N/A
9/30/2023	7,897	926	-28	667	N/A
6/30/2023	7,906	982	113	718	N/A
3/31/2023	7,703	895	226	721	N/A
12/31/2022	7,499	807	339	724	N/A
9/30/2022	7,516	808	533	895	N/A
6/30/2022	7,533	809	726	1,066	N/A
3/31/2022	7,423	787	865	1,182	N/A
12/31/2021	7,313	765	1,004	1,298	N/A
9/30/2021	7,052	642	1,058	1,304	N/A
6/30/2021	6,790	519	1,111	1,310	N/A
3/31/2021	6,193	234	850	1,065	N/A
12/31/2020	5,595	-51	589	819	N/A
9/30/2020	5,979	-14	556	848	N/A
6/30/2020	6,362	23	523	876	N/A
3/31/2020	7,303	377	651	1,050	N/A
12/31/2019	8,243	730	778	1,224	N/A
9/30/2019	8,265	761	595	1,060	N/A
6/30/2019	8,287	791	412	896	N/A
3/31/2019	8,381	818	440	920	N/A
12/31/2018	8,475	845	467	943	N/A
9/30/2018	8,506	884	625	1,097	N/A
6/30/2018	8,536	922	783	1,250	N/A
3/31/2018	8,263	828	N/A	1,257	N/A
12/31/2017	7,989	733	N/A	1,264	N/A
9/30/2017	7,773	663	N/A	1,165	N/A
6/30/2017	7,556	592	N/A	1,066	N/A
3/31/2017	7,555	583	N/A	1,038	N/A
12/31/2016	7,553	574	N/A	1,010	N/A
9/30/2016	7,764	694	N/A	987	N/A
6/30/2016	7,975	814	N/A	964	N/A
3/31/2016	8,213	952	N/A	1,184	N/A
12/31/2015	8,451	1,089	N/A	1,404	N/A
9/30/2015	8,625	1,170	N/A	1,530	N/A
6/30/2015	8,799	1,251	N/A	1,656	N/A
3/31/2015	8,754	1,318	N/A	1,752	N/A
12/31/2014	8,709	1,384	N/A	1,848	N/A
9/30/2014	8,631	1,599	N/A	1,748	N/A
6/30/2014	8,552	1,813	N/A	1,647	N/A
3/31/2014	8,504	1,867	N/A	1,478	N/A
12/31/2013	8,456	1,921	N/A	1,309	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 0QM4's forecast earnings growth (13% per year) is above the savings rate (2.1%).

Earnings vs Market: 0QM4's earnings (13% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the UK market (14.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 0QM4's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 0QM4's revenue (2.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the UK market (3.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 0QM4's revenue (2.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 0QM4's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (4.3%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/26 06:19
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

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Industry and Sector Metrics

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Analyst Sources

The Swatch Group AG is covered by 54 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Véronique Cabioc'h Le Brun	AlphaValue
Atiyyah Vawda	Avior Capital Markets
Christian Weiz	Baader Helvea Equity Research