Safilo Group Valuation

Is 0NJ5 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0NJ5 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0NJ5 (€0.89) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0NJ5 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0NJ5?

Key metric: As 0NJ5 is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 0NJ5. This is calculated by dividing 0NJ5's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 0NJ5's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
Sales€1.01b
Market Cap€366.60m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0NJ5's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0NJ5 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
MUL Mulberry Group
0.5xn/aUK£70.1m
BRBY Burberry Group
1.2x1.9%UK£3.3b
SOS Sosandar
0.5x8.6%UK£22.6m
DOCS Dr. Martens
0.6x2.8%UK£562.0m
0NJ5 Safilo Group
0.4x3.4%€366.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0NJ5 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 0NJ5's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

16 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0NJ5 0.4xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies17PS00.61.21.82.43+
16 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0NJ5 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0NJ5's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0NJ5 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0NJ5 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0NJ5 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.89
€1.25
+40.5%
17.9%€1.60€1.00n/a5
Nov ’25€1.00
€1.27
+26.6%
16.3%€1.60€1.00n/a5
Oct ’25€1.08
€1.31
+21.3%
12.7%€1.60€1.18n/a5
Sep ’25€1.22
€1.34
+10.2%
13.1%€1.60€1.18n/a4
Aug ’25€1.03
€1.34
+30.7%
13.1%€1.60€1.18n/a4
Jul ’25€1.03
€1.34
+29.5%
13.1%€1.60€1.18n/a4
Jun ’25€1.15
€1.37
+18.9%
13.8%€1.60€1.18n/a4
May ’25€1.18
€1.34
+13.9%
13.1%€1.60€1.18n/a4
Apr ’25€1.20
€1.34
+11.5%
13.1%€1.60€1.18n/a4
Mar ’25€1.16
€1.29
+11.9%
17.7%€1.60€0.99n/a4
Feb ’25€1.12
€1.29
+15.5%
17.7%€1.60€0.99n/a4
Jan ’25€0.92
€1.24
+35.3%
19.1%€1.60€0.99n/a4
Dec ’24€0.82
€1.32
+61.9%
16.4%€1.60€1.07n/a3
Nov ’24€0.76
€1.45
+89.9%
12.3%€1.70€1.30€1.003
Oct ’24€0.85
€1.52
+78.0%
9.5%€1.70€1.35€1.083
Sep ’24€0.99
€1.52
+52.7%
9.5%€1.70€1.35€1.223
Aug ’24€1.14
€1.67
+46.4%
5.7%€1.80€1.60€1.033
Jul ’24€1.24
€1.70
+37.3%
4.8%€1.80€1.60€1.033
Jun ’24€1.18
€1.70
+43.9%
4.8%€1.80€1.60€1.153
May ’24€1.29
€1.70
+31.4%
4.8%€1.80€1.60€1.183
Apr ’24€1.41
€1.70
+20.3%
4.8%€1.80€1.60€1.203
Mar ’24€1.38
€1.70
+22.6%
4.8%€1.80€1.60€1.163
Feb ’24€1.37
€1.73
+26.0%
7.3%€1.90€1.60€1.123
Jan ’24€1.53
€1.81
+17.9%
9.1%€2.00€1.60€0.923
Dec ’23€1.52
€1.81
+19.1%
9.1%€2.00€1.60€0.823
Nov ’23€1.44
€1.79
+24.2%
8.9%€2.00€1.60€0.764

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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