Springfield Properties PLC

AIM:SPR Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£114.5m

Springfield Properties Valuation

Is SPR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SPR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SPR (£0.97) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£0.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SPR is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SPR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SPR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.8x
PEG Ratio0.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SPR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SPR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.4x
BOOT Henry Boot
9.2x3.0%UK£241.9m
GLE MJ Gleeson
17.6x16.0%UK£299.1m
CRST Crest Nicholson Holdings
26.4x27.3%UK£472.1m
CRN Cairn Homes
12.2x12.4%UK£894.2m
SPR Springfield Properties
13.9x23.7%UK£114.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SPR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the peer average (16.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SPR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Durables Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SPR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the European Consumer Durables industry average (13.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SPR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SPR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.9x
Fair PE Ratio15.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SPR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SPR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.96
UK£1.17
+20.9%
13.2%UK£1.30UK£0.95n/a3
Apr ’25UK£0.95
UK£1.17
+22.8%
13.2%UK£1.30UK£0.95n/a3
Mar ’25UK£0.83
UK£1.17
+39.7%
13.2%UK£1.30UK£0.95n/a3
Feb ’25UK£0.79
UK£1.07
+35.9%
27.7%UK£1.30UK£0.65n/a3
Jan ’25UK£0.87
UK£1.07
+22.6%
27.7%UK£1.30UK£0.65n/a3
Dec ’24UK£0.72
UK£1.00
+38.9%
25.5%UK£1.25UK£0.65n/a3
Nov ’24UK£0.52
UK£1.00
+94.2%
25.5%UK£1.25UK£0.65n/a3
Oct ’24UK£0.55
UK£1.13
+105.5%
10.6%UK£1.29UK£1.00n/a3
Sep ’24UK£0.60
UK£1.13
+86.8%
10.6%UK£1.29UK£1.00n/a3
Aug ’24UK£0.70
UK£1.13
+61.4%
10.6%UK£1.29UK£1.00n/a3
Jul ’24UK£0.69
UK£1.15
+65.9%
12.7%UK£1.29UK£1.00n/a2
Jun ’24UK£0.85
UK£1.15
+33.9%
12.7%UK£1.29UK£1.00n/a2
May ’24UK£0.84
UK£1.15
+36.3%
12.7%UK£1.29UK£1.00n/a2
Apr ’24UK£0.82
UK£1.15
+39.6%
12.7%UK£1.29UK£1.00UK£0.952
Mar ’24UK£0.81
UK£1.25
+54.7%
3.6%UK£1.29UK£1.20UK£0.832
Feb ’24UK£0.93
UK£1.24
+34.1%
3.2%UK£1.28UK£1.20UK£0.792
Jan ’24UK£0.75
UK£1.24
+65.3%
3.2%UK£1.28UK£1.20UK£0.872
Dec ’23UK£0.90
UK£1.53
+69.4%
21.3%UK£1.85UK£1.20UK£0.722
Nov ’23UK£0.92
UK£1.68
+83.1%
10.4%UK£1.85UK£1.50UK£0.522
Oct ’23UK£0.93
UK£1.68
+81.1%
10.4%UK£1.85UK£1.50UK£0.552
Sep ’23UK£1.22
UK£1.70
+39.3%
8.8%UK£1.85UK£1.55UK£0.602
Aug ’23UK£1.35
UK£1.70
+26.4%
8.8%UK£1.85UK£1.55UK£0.702
Jul ’23UK£1.32
UK£1.70
+29.3%
8.8%UK£1.85UK£1.55UK£0.692
Jun ’23UK£1.27
UK£1.70
+34.4%
8.8%UK£1.85UK£1.55UK£0.852
May ’23UK£1.44
UK£1.70
+18.1%
8.8%UK£1.85UK£1.55UK£0.842
Apr ’23UK£1.46
UK£1.70
+16.4%
8.8%UK£1.85UK£1.55UK£0.822

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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